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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Ramsey Nijem won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1355
Ramsey Nijem
Elo1480
Beneil Dariush

Ramsey NijemvsBeneil DariushUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson · Friday, April 11, 2014Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Ramsey Nijem won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:20

Style matchupRamsey Nijem: WrestlervsBeneil Dariush: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Ramsey Nijem wins(61.6%)

Actual result: Ramsey Nijem wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ramsey Nijem at +235 American odds

+$235 profit

$335 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Beneil Dariush has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Beneil Dariush (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Ramsey Nijem
Red Corner
VS
Beneil Dariush
Blue Corner
+235
(30%)
Vegas Odds
-255
(72%)
1355
Elo
1480
38
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
5'10"
190.5 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ramsey NijemL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Myles Jury · Apr 13
L
SUBvs James Vick · Aug 13
W
vs Justin Edwards · Jan 14
L
KOvs Diego Ferreira · Aug 14
L
vs Andrew Holbrook · Jul 15
latest
Beneil DariushL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Charles Oliveira · Jun 23
L
KOvs Arman Tsarukyan · Dec 23
W
vs Renato Moicano · Jun 25
L
KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Nov 25
L
KOvs Quillan Salkilld · May 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ramsey NijemMetricBeneil Dariush
3.05
Strikes / min
3.74
1.62
Strikes absorbed / min
2.63
62%
Strike defense
57%
5.32
TDs / 15 min
2.21
55%
Takedown defense
82%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.43evenly matched on net striking+1.11

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1517 vs 1518Strikes25.3 vs 9.0Takedowns3.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.71 vs 1.00Form0.1 vs 1.0
Ramsey NijemBeneil Dariush

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Ramsey Nijem(10 fights)Beneil Dariush(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -125.3|Blue +125.3
Recent Form
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score
Red +1.5|Blue -1.5
Grappler Score
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ramsey NijemTargetBeneil Dariush

By target zone

25
64% acc · 74%
Head
6
43% acc · 67%
3
50% acc · 9%
Body
3
50% acc · 33%
6
100% acc · 18%
Leg
0

By position

15
54% acc · 44%
Distance
6
43% acc · 67%
0
0% acc
Clinch
3
50% acc · 33%
19
86% acc · 56%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Ramsey Nijem rounds
0
even
0
Beneil Dariush rounds
Round 1Ramsey Nijem edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns1
Control1:37
Knockdowns2
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:29Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

2
KD
0
34 / 51
Sig Strikes
9 / 20
66%
Sig Str %
45%
92 / 121
Total Strikes
14 / 25
1 / 1
TDs
0 / 1
100%
TD %
0%
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:37
Ctrl Time
0:29

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Beneil Dariush9 / 2014 / 250 / 10
1Ramsey Nijem34 / 5192 / 1211 / 11

Ramsey Nijem

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights10

Beneil Dariush

StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights24