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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Andrew Holbrook won · S-DEC R3

Elo1355

Elo1362

Ramsey NijemvsAndrew HolbrookUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · Saturday, July 25, 2015Chicago, Illinois, USA

Official fight result

Andrew Holbrook won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupRamsey Nijem: WrestlervsAndrew Holbrook: Submission grappler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Ramsey Nijem wins(70.7%)

Actual result: Andrew Holbrook wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ramsey Nijem at -155 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ramsey Nijem has 45pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Andrew Holbrook (53.5%).
Ramsey Nijem has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ramsey Nijem

Red Corner

Andrew Holbrook

Blue Corner

-155

(61%)

Vegas Odds

+135

(43%)

1355

Elo

1362

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'11"

Height

5'11"

190.5 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ramsey Nijem

oldest →

KOvs Myles Jury · Apr 13

SUBvs James Vick · Aug 13

vs Justin Edwards · Jan 14

KOvs Beneil Dariush · Apr 14

KOvs Diego Ferreira · Aug 14

latest

Andrew HolbrookL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Joaquim Silva · Jul 16

vs Jake Matthews · Nov 16

KOvs Gregor Gillespie · Apr 17

KOvs Thibault Gouti · Sep 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ramsey NijemMetricAndrew Holbrook

3.05

Strikes / min

2.20

1.62

Strikes absorbed / min

3.00

62%

Strike defense

54%

5.32

TDs / 15 min

0.85

55%

Takedown defense

10%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

2.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.43Δ 2.23 — meaningful gap-0.80

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ramsey NijemAndrew Holbrook

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ramsey Nijem(10 fights)Andrew Holbrook(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -6.6|Blue +6.6

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red -48.5|Blue +48.5

Grappler Score

Red -49.5|Blue +49.5

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ramsey NijemTargetAndrew Holbrook

By target zone

43% acc · 83%

Head

43% acc · 65%

71% acc · 17%

Body

67% acc · 20%

Leg

100% acc · 15%

By position

32% acc · 28%

Distance

15% acc · 10%

59% acc · 45%

Clinch

57% acc · 40%

50% acc · 28%

Ground

83% acc · 50%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ramsey Nijem rounds

even

Andrew Holbrook rounds

Round 1Ramsey Nijem edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns2

Control2:43

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:44Control

Round 2Ramsey Nijem edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns3

Control2:17

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:20Control

Round 3Ramsey Nijem edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns1

Control3:37

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:19Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

29 / 63

Sig Strikes

20 / 39

45.7%

Sig Str %

46.7%

76 / 120

Total Strikes

73 / 99

6 / 6

TDs

0 / 3

100%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

8:37

Ctrl Time

3:23

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Andrew Holbrook	14 / 25	34 / 46	0 / 3	0
1	Ramsey Nijem	14 / 30	27 / 44	2 / 2	0
2	Andrew Holbrook	4 / 9	29 / 34	0 / 0	1
2	Ramsey Nijem	8 / 16	19 / 33	3 / 3	0
3	Andrew Holbrook	2 / 5	10 / 19	0 / 0	1
3	Ramsey Nijem	7 / 17	30 / 43	1 / 1	0

Ramsey Nijem

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights10

Andrew Holbrook

StanceSouthpaw

Height71.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights5