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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Rashad Evans won · Decision R3
Elo1490
Rampage Jackson
Elo1366

Rampage JacksonvsRashad EvansUFC Prediction Result

UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · Saturday, May 29, 2010Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Rashad Evans won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Rampage Jackson wins(62.6%)

Actual result: Rashad Evans wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rampage Jackson at -109 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Rashad Evans enters on a 5-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Rampage Jackson
Red Corner
VS
Rashad Evans
Blue Corner
-109
(52%)
Vegas Odds
-101
(50%)
1490
Elo
1366
31
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
185.42 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rampage Jackson
oldest →
W
DECvs Matt Hamill · May 11
L
SUBvs Jon Jones · Sep 11
L
DECvs Ryan Bader · Feb 12
L
DECvs Glover Teixeira · Jan 13
W
DECvs Fabio Maldonado · Apr 15
latest
Rashad EvansL5 streak
oldest →
L
vs Ryan Bader · Oct 15
L
KOvs Glover Teixeira · Apr 16
L
vs Daniel Kelly · Mar 17
L
vs Sam Alvey · Aug 17
L
KOvs Anthony Smith · Jun 18
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rampage JacksonMetricRashad Evans
—
Strikes / min
2.14
—
Strikes absorbed / min
2.42
—
Strike defense
63%
—
TDs / 15 min
2.98
—
Takedown defense
73%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1500Strikes40.3 vs 22.4Takedowns0.7 vs 3.7Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form0.0 vs 0.0
Rampage JacksonRashad Evans

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
Rampage Jackson(7 fights)Rashad Evans(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +124.6|Blue -124.6
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Rampage Jackson

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights1

Rashad Evans

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights12