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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Rampage Jackson won · Decision R3
Elo1490
Rampage Jackson
Elo1490

Rampage JacksonvsMatt HamillUFC Prediction Result

UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · Saturday, May 28, 2011Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Rampage Jackson won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Matt Hamill wins(56.0%)

Actual result: Rampage Jackson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Matt Hamill at +275 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Rampage Jackson
Red Corner
VS
Matt Hamill
Blue Corner
-305
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+275
(27%)
1490
Elo
1490
32
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'1"
185.42 cm
Reach
193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rampage Jackson
oldest →
W
DECvs Lyoto Machida · Nov 10
L
SUBvs Jon Jones · Sep 11
L
DECvs Ryan Bader · Feb 12
L
DECvs Glover Teixeira · Jan 13
W
DECvs Fabio Maldonado · Apr 15
latest
Matt Hamill
oldest →
W
vs Keith Jardine · Jun 10
W
vs Tito Ortiz · Oct 10
L
KOvs Alexander Gustafsson · Aug 11
W
vs Roger Hollett · Sep 12
L
vs Thiago Silva · Oct 13
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rampage JacksonMetricMatt Hamill
—
Strikes / min
3.69
—
Strikes absorbed / min
3.80
—
Strike defense
61%
—
TDs / 15 min
3.00
—
Takedown defense
91%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1531Strikes34.4 vs 32.9Takedowns0.6 vs 2.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form0.2 vs 1.0
Rampage JacksonMatt Hamill

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Rampage Jackson(7 fights)Matt Hamill(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Recent Form
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff
Red -28.0|Blue +28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Rampage Jackson

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights1

Matt Hamill

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights6