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Catch Weight

3 Rounds

Rampage Jackson won · Decision R3

Elo1490

Elo1356

Rampage JacksonvsFabio MaldonadoUFC Prediction Result

UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · Saturday, April 25, 2015Montreal, Quebec, Canada

Official fight result

Rampage Jackson won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Fabio Maldonado wins(66.4%)

Actual result: Rampage Jackson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Fabio Maldonado at +150 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Rampage Jackson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Rampage Jackson

Red Corner

Fabio Maldonado

Blue Corner

-170

(63%)

Vegas Odds

+150

(40%)

1490

Elo

1356

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'1"

185.42 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rampage JacksonL3 streak

oldest →

DECvs Lyoto Machida · Nov 10

DECvs Matt Hamill · May 11

SUBvs Jon Jones · Sep 11

DECvs Ryan Bader · Feb 12

DECvs Glover Teixeira · Jan 13

latest

Fabio Maldonado

oldest →

vs Joey Beltran · Oct 13

vs Gian Villante · Mar 14

KOvs Stipe Miocic · May 14

KOvs Hans Stringer · Oct 14

vs Corey Anderson · Nov 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rampage JacksonMetricFabio Maldonado

—

Strikes / min

5.29

—

Strikes absorbed / min

4.31

—

Strike defense

53%

—

TDs / 15 min

0.44

—

Takedown defense

61%

—

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rampage JacksonFabio Maldonado

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rampage Jackson(7 fights)Fabio Maldonado(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +134.7|Blue -134.7

Recent Form

Red -1.2|Blue +1.2

Striker Score

Red -2.1|Blue +2.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +637.0|Blue -637.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Rampage Jackson

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights1

Fabio Maldonado

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights11