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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Ramiz Brahimaj won · SUB R1
Elo1512
Ramiz Brahimaj editorial illustration
Elo1418

Ramiz BrahimajvsMicheal GillmoreUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · Saturday, February 26, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Ramiz Brahimaj won

SUB · Round 1 · 2:02

Model Prediction: Ramiz Brahimaj wins(58.9%)

Actual result: Ramiz Brahimaj wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ramiz Brahimaj at -425 American odds

+$24 profit

$124 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Ramiz Brahimaj threatens submissions; Micheal Gillmore has lost 50% of fights by sub.

Tale of the Tape

Ramiz Brahimaj
Red Corner
VS
Micheal Gillmore
Blue Corner
-425
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+320
(24%)
1512
Elo
1418
33
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'11"
182.88 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ramiz Brahimaj
oldest →
L
vs Themba Gorimbo · May 24
W
KOvs Mickey Gall · Nov 24
W
SUBvs Billy Ray Goff · May 25
W
SUBvs Austin Vanderford · Oct 25
L
vs Punahele Soriano · Feb 26
latest
Micheal Gillmore
oldest →
L
KOvs Andre Petroski · Aug 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ramiz BrahimajMetricMicheal Gillmore
2.29
Strikes / min
2.04
3.27
Strikes absorbed / min
3.02
47%
Strike defense
43%
1.99
TDs / 15 min
0.00
44%
Takedown defense
50%
1.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.98evenly matched on net striking-0.98

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1480 vs 1482Strikes1.7 vs 2.0Takedowns1.6 vs 0.0Sub Atts1.60 vs 0.00Form-0.3 vs -1.0
Ramiz BrahimajMicheal Gillmore

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Ramiz Brahimaj(9 fights)Micheal Gillmore(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +93.2|Blue -93.2
Recent Form
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff
Red -140.0|Blue +140.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ramiz BrahimajTargetMicheal Gillmore

By target zone

0
0% acc
Head
0
0% acc
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
0% acc

By position

0
0% acc
Distance
0
0% acc
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Ramiz Brahimaj rounds
0
even
0
Micheal Gillmore rounds
Round 1Ramiz Brahimaj edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns1
Control1:33
0Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
0 / 1
Sig Strikes
0 / 2
0%
Sig Str %
0%
2 / 4
Total Strikes
3 / 5
1 / 1
TDs
0 / 0
100%
TD %
—
3
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:33
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Micheal Gillmore0 / 23 / 50 / 00
1Ramiz Brahimaj0 / 12 / 41 / 13

Ramiz Brahimaj

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights9

Micheal Gillmore

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights2