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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Ramazan Emeev won · U-DEC R3
Elo1428
Elo1426

Ramazan EmeevvsNiklas StolzeUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · Saturday, July 25, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Ramazan Emeev won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Ramazan Emeev wins(70.4%)

Actual result: Ramazan Emeev wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ramazan Emeev at -400 American odds

+$25 profit

$125 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Ramazan Emeev has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Niklas Stolze (54.1%).

Tale of the Tape

Ramazan Emeev
Red Corner
VS
Niklas Stolze
Blue Corner
-400
(80%)
Vegas Odds
+300
(25%)
1428
Elo
1426
39
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
5'10"
Height
6'1"
193.04 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ramazan EmeevL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Stefan Sekulic · Sep 18
L
DECvs Rocco Martin · Nov 19
W
vs David Zawada · Jan 21
L
vs Danny Roberts · Oct 21
L
KOvs Jack Della Maddalena · Jun 22
latest
Niklas StolzeL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Jared Gooden · Jul 21
L
SUBvs Benoit Saint Denis · Jun 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ramazan EmeevMetricNiklas Stolze
2.53
Strikes / min
2.12
2.14
Strikes absorbed / min
2.25
65%
Strike defense
49%
2.37
TDs / 15 min
0.66
66%
Takedown defense
55%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.39evenly matched on net striking-0.13

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1536 vs 1500Strikes2.4 vs 0.0Takedowns1.5 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.20 vs 0.00Form-0.2 vs 0.0
Ramazan EmeevNiklas Stolze

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Ramazan Emeev(8 fights)Niklas Stolze(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +2.0|Blue -2.0
Recent Form
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score
Red -48.6|Blue +48.6
Grappler Score
Red -49.8|Blue +49.8
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ramazan EmeevTargetNiklas Stolze

By target zone

22
37% acc · 76%
Head
13
31% acc · 43%
5
100% acc · 17%
Body
3
43% acc · 10%
2
67% acc · 7%
Leg
14
61% acc · 47%

By position

19
35% acc · 66%
Distance
27
41% acc · 90%
7
78% acc · 24%
Clinch
1
33% acc · 3%
3
75% acc · 10%
Ground
2
67% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Ramazan Emeev rounds
0
even
1
Niklas Stolze rounds
Round 1Ramazan Emeev edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns3
Control2:59
8Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Round 2Niklas Stolze edged it
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Ramazan Emeev edged it
Sig. strikes8
Takedowns1
Control3:51
5Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:18Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
29 / 67
Sig Strikes
30 / 72
45.7%
Sig Str %
39.3%
67 / 114
Total Strikes
41 / 85
4 / 12
TDs
1 / 1
22.3%
TD %
100%
2
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
6:50
Ctrl Time
0:21

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Niklas Stolze8 / 1911 / 220 / 00
1Ramazan Emeev6 / 1321 / 313 / 72
2Niklas Stolze17 / 3717 / 370 / 00
2Ramazan Emeev15 / 3915 / 400 / 10
3Niklas Stolze5 / 1613 / 261 / 10
3Ramazan Emeev8 / 1531 / 431 / 40

Ramazan Emeev

StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights8

Niklas Stolze

StanceSwitch
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights3