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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Rafael Feijao won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1356
Elo1357

Rafael FeijaovsIgor PokrajacUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · Saturday, November 9, 2013Goiania, Goias, Brazil

Official fight result

Rafael Feijao won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:18

Model Prediction: Rafael Feijao wins(57.2%)

Actual result: Rafael Feijao wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rafael Feijao at -320 American odds

+$31 profit

$131 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Rafael Feijao enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
  • Igor Pokrajac enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
  • Igor Pokrajac is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Rafael Feijao has lost 50% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Rafael Feijao
Red Corner
VS
Igor Pokrajac
Blue Corner
-320
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+290
(26%)
1356
Elo
1357
33
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'0"
185.42 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rafael FeijaoL4 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Thiago Silva · Jun 13
L
DECvs Ryan Bader · Jun 14
L
KOvs Patrick Cummins · Aug 15
L
DECvs Ovince Saint Preux · Feb 16
latest
Igor PokrajacL4 streak
oldest →
W
vs Fabio Maldonado · May 12
L
SUBvs Vinny Magalhaes · Sep 12
L
vs Ryan Jimmo · Jun 13
L
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Dec 14
L
vs Jan Blachowicz · Apr 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rafael FeijaoMetricIgor Pokrajac
—
Strikes / min
2.25
—
Strikes absorbed / min
4.26
—
Strike defense
40%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.87
—
Takedown defense
51%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1483 vs 1510Strikes24.0 vs 22.5Takedowns0.0 vs 0.7Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.20Form-1.0 vs -0.4
Rafael FeijaoIgor Pokrajac

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
Rafael Feijao(5 fights)Igor Pokrajac(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Recent Form
Red -0.6|Blue +0.6
Striker Score
Red -1.4|Blue +1.4
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red +7.0|Blue -7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Rafael Feijao

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights2

Igor Pokrajac

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights10