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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Rafael Dos Anjos won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1491

Elo1490

Rafael Dos AnjosvsJason HighUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · Saturday, June 7, 2014Albuquerque, New Mexico, USA

Official fight result

Rafael Dos Anjos won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:36

Model Prediction: Rafael Dos Anjos wins(67.3%)

Actual result: Rafael Dos Anjos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rafael Dos Anjos at -280 American odds

+$36 profit

$136 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Rafael Dos Anjos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Rafael Dos Anjos has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Rafael Dos Anjos has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Rafael Dos Anjos

Red Corner

Jason High

Blue Corner

-280

(74%)

Vegas Odds

+255

(28%)

1491

Elo

1490

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'8"

Height

5'8"

177.8 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rafael Dos AnjosL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Rafael Fiziev · Jul 22

SUBvs Bryan Barberena · Dec 22

vs Vicente Luque · Aug 23

vs Mateusz Gamrot · Mar 24

KOvs Geoff Neal · Oct 24

latest

Jason HighW2 streak

oldest →

vs Charlie Brenneman · Mar 10

SUBvs Erick Silva · Jun 13

SUBvs James Head · Aug 13

vs Anthony Lapsley · Nov 13

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rafael Dos AnjosMetricJason High

3.48

Strikes / min

1.28

3.23

Strikes absorbed / min

1.56

60%

Strike defense

48%

1.95

TDs / 15 min

2.36

54%

Takedown defense

37%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

2.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.25evenly matched on net striking-0.28

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rafael Dos AnjosJason High

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rafael Dos Anjos(10 fights)Jason High(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red +1.4|Blue -1.4

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -154.0|Blue +154.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rafael Dos AnjosTargetJason High

By target zone

46% acc · 67%

Head

38% acc · 88%

73% acc · 31%

Body

29% acc · 8%

100% acc · 3%

Leg

100% acc · 4%

By position

45% acc · 69%

Distance

32% acc · 75%

67% acc · 6%

Clinch

100% acc · 17%

90% acc · 25%

Ground

67% acc · 8%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rafael Dos Anjos rounds

even

Jason High rounds

Round 1Jason High edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns1

Control0:52

15Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:04Control

Round 2Rafael Dos Anjos edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns1

Control1:00

Knockdowns1

9Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:49Control

0Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

36 / 68

Sig Strikes

24 / 64

52.5%

Sig Str %

36.5%

53 / 85

Total Strikes

26 / 67

2 / 2

TDs

3 / 3

100%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

1:52

Ctrl Time

2:53

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jason High	15 / 36	16 / 38	2 / 2	0
1	Rafael Dos Anjos	17 / 33	26 / 42	1 / 1	2
2	Jason High	9 / 28	10 / 29	1 / 1	0
2	Rafael Dos Anjos	19 / 35	27 / 43	1 / 1	1

Rafael Dos Anjos

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights32

Jason High

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights5