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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Rafael Dos Anjos won · U-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1354

Rafael Dos AnjosvsAnthony NjokuaniUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman · Wednesday, July 11, 2012San Jose, California, USA

Official fight result

Rafael Dos Anjos won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Anthony Njokuani wins(52.2%)

Actual result: Rafael Dos Anjos wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Anthony Njokuani at +175 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Rafael Dos Anjos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Rafael Dos Anjos (53.5%).
Anthony Njokuani has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Rafael Dos Anjos

Red Corner

Anthony Njokuani

Blue Corner

-190

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+175

(36%)

1491

Elo

1354

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

6'1"

177.8 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Rafael Dos AnjosL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Rafael Fiziev · Jul 22

SUBvs Bryan Barberena · Dec 22

vs Vicente Luque · Aug 23

vs Mateusz Gamrot · Mar 24

KOvs Geoff Neal · Oct 24

latest

Anthony NjokuaniL2 streak

oldest →

vs Danny Castillo · Dec 11

vs John Makdessi · Apr 12

KOvs Roger Bowling · Apr 13

vs Vinc Pichel · May 14

vs Daron Cruickshank · Oct 14

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Rafael Dos AnjosMetricAnthony Njokuani

3.48

Strikes / min

3.94

3.23

Strikes absorbed / min

2.41

60%

Strike defense

65%

1.95

TDs / 15 min

0.50

54%

Takedown defense

53%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.25Δ 1.28 — meaningful gap+1.53

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Rafael Dos AnjosAnthony Njokuani

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Rafael Dos Anjos(10 fights)Anthony Njokuani(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +136.9|Blue -136.9

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red -2.0|Blue +2.0

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -24.0|Blue +24.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Rafael Dos AnjosTargetAnthony Njokuani

By target zone

40% acc · 37%

Head

24% acc · 41%

Body

58% acc · 44%

86% acc · 63%

Leg

63% acc · 16%

By position

47% acc · 49%

Distance

36% acc · 97%

81% acc · 41%

Clinch

50% acc · 3%

83% acc · 10%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Rafael Dos Anjos rounds

even

Anthony Njokuani rounds

Round 1Rafael Dos Anjos edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns2

Control1:23

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Rafael Dos Anjos edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns3

Control3:10

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Rafael Dos Anjos edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns1

Control2:09

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

51 / 85

Sig Strikes

32 / 87

60%

Sig Str %

37%

68 / 108

Total Strikes

37 / 92

6 / 17

TDs

0 / 0

39.7%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

6:42

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Anthony Njokuani	12 / 36	13 / 37	0 / 0
1	Rafael Dos Anjos	24 / 41	27 / 44	2 / 3
2	Anthony Njokuani	10 / 25	13 / 28	0 / 0
2	Rafael Dos Anjos	13 / 23	19 / 31	3 / 9
3	Anthony Njokuani	10 / 26	11 / 27	0 / 0
3	Rafael Dos Anjos	14 / 21	22 / 33	1 / 5

Rafael Dos Anjos

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights32

Anthony Njokuani

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights8