← All fights/Event page

Lightweight

3 Rounds

Quillan Salkilld won · SUB R1

Elo1602

Elo1490

Quillan SalkilldvsJamie MullarkeyUFC Prediction Result

UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · Saturday, January 31, 2026Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Official fight result

Quillan Salkilld won

SUB · Round 1 · 3:02

Style matchupQuillan Salkilld: WrestlervsJamie Mullarkey: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Quillan Salkilld wins(92.1%)

Actual result: Quillan Salkilld wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Quillan Salkilld at -1100 American odds

+$9 profit

$109 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Quillan Salkilld enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Quillan Salkilld is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Jamie Mullarkey has lost 57% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Quillan Salkilld

Red Corner

Jamie Mullarkey

Blue Corner

-1100

(92%)

Vegas Odds

+700

(13%)

1602

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'0"

190.5 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Quillan SalkilldW4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Anshul Jubli · Feb 25

vs Yanal Ashmouz · Jun 25

KOvs Nasrat Haqparast · Oct 25

KOvs Beneil Dariush · May 26

latest

Jamie Mullarkey

oldest →

KOvs Muhammad Naimov · Jun 23

vs John Makdessi · Sep 23

KOvs Nasrat Haqparast · Dec 23

KOvs Mauricio Ruffy · May 24

vs Rolando Bedoya · Sep 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Quillan SalkilldMetricJamie Mullarkey

5.01

Strikes / min

4.10

3.03

Strikes absorbed / min

4.28

45%

Strike defense

54%

7.25

TDs / 15 min

2.46

80%

Takedown defense

70%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.98Δ 2.16 — meaningful gap-0.18

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Quillan SalkilldJamie Mullarkey

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Quillan Salkilld(5 fights)Jamie Mullarkey(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +112.4|Blue -112.4

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Layoff

Red -28.0|Blue +28.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Quillan SalkilldTargetJamie Mullarkey

By target zone

50% acc · 20%

Head

25% acc · 100%

50% acc · 20%

Body

75% acc · 60%

Leg

By position

60% acc · 60%

Distance

0% acc

67% acc · 40%

Clinch

100% acc · 100%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Quillan Salkilld rounds

even

Jamie Mullarkey rounds

Round 1Quillan Salkilld edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns2

Control0:39

1Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:14Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

5 / 8

Sig Strikes

1 / 4

62%

Sig Str %

25%

18 / 21

Total Strikes

6 / 9

2 / 3

TDs

1 / 1

66%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:39

Ctrl Time

1:14

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jamie Mullarkey	1 / 4	6 / 9	1 / 1	0
1	Quillan Salkilld	5 / 8	18 / 21	2 / 3	1

Quillan Salkilld

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights4

Jamie Mullarkey

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights13