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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Roman Kopylov won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1535

Elo1520

Punahele SorianovsRoman KopylovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov · Saturday, January 14, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Roman Kopylov won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 3:19

Model Prediction: Punahele Soriano wins(64.9%)

Actual result: Roman Kopylov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Punahele Soriano at -140 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Punahele Soriano enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Roman Kopylov has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Punahele Soriano

Red Corner

Roman Kopylov

Blue Corner

-140

(58%)

Vegas Odds

+120

(45%)

1535

Elo

1520

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'11"

Height

6'0"

182.88 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Punahele SorianoW4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Dustin Stoltzfus · Dec 23

vs Miguel Baeza · Jun 24

KOvs Uros Medic · Jan 25

vs Nikolay Veretennikov · Oct 25

vs Ramiz Brahimaj · Feb 26

latest

Roman Kopylov

oldest →

vs Cesar Almeida · Jun 24

KOvs Chris Curtis · Jan 25

vs Paulo Costa · Jul 25

vs Gregory Rodrigues · Nov 25

DECvs Marco Tulio · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Punahele SorianoMetricRoman Kopylov

4.42

Strikes / min

4.54

3.31

Strikes absorbed / min

5.08

47%

Strike defense

53%

1.97

TDs / 15 min

1.12

48%

Takedown defense

88%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.11Δ 1.65 — meaningful gap-0.54

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Punahele SorianoRoman Kopylov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Punahele Soriano(10 fights)Roman Kopylov(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +14.9|Blue -14.9

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +49.0|Blue -49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Punahele SorianoTargetRoman Kopylov

By target zone

35% acc · 90%

Head

55% acc · 68%

67% acc · 10%

Body

93% acc · 17%

Leg

100% acc · 15%

By position

34% acc · 85%

Distance

63% acc · 93%

67% acc · 15%

Clinch

75% acc · 7%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Punahele Soriano rounds

even

Roman Kopylov rounds

Round 1Roman Kopylov edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:01

35Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:10Control

Round 2Roman Kopylov edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:05

47Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

39 / 107

Sig Strikes

82 / 128

36.5%

Sig Str %

63.5%

39 / 107

Total Strikes

82 / 128

0 / 3

TDs

1 / 1

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:06

Ctrl Time

0:10

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Roman Kopylov	35 / 62	35 / 62	1 / 1
1	Punahele Soriano	18 / 46	18 / 46	0 / 2
2	Roman Kopylov	47 / 66	47 / 66	0 / 0
2	Punahele Soriano	21 / 61	21 / 61	0 / 1

Punahele Soriano

StanceSouthpaw

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights11

Roman Kopylov

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights12