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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Nick Maximov won · S-DEC R3

Elo1535

Elo1439

Punahele SorianovsNick MaximovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · Saturday, February 5, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Nick Maximov won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Nick Maximov wins(51.7%)

Actual result: Nick Maximov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nick Maximov at +160 American odds

+$160 profit

$260 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Punahele Soriano enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Nick Maximov has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Punahele Soriano

Red Corner

Nick Maximov

Blue Corner

-190

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+160

(38%)

1535

Elo

1439

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

5'11"

Height

6'0"

182.88 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Punahele SorianoW4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Dustin Stoltzfus · Dec 23

vs Miguel Baeza · Jun 24

KOvs Uros Medic · Jan 25

vs Nikolay Veretennikov · Oct 25

vs Ramiz Brahimaj · Feb 26

latest

Nick MaximovL2 streak

oldest →

vs Cody Brundage · Sep 21

SUBvs Andre Petroski · May 22

vs Jacob Malkoun · Oct 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Punahele SorianoMetricNick Maximov

4.42

Strikes / min

1.93

3.31

Strikes absorbed / min

2.64

47%

Strike defense

46%

1.97

TDs / 15 min

4.16

48%

Takedown defense

35%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.11Δ 1.82 — meaningful gap-0.71

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Punahele SorianoNick Maximov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Punahele Soriano(10 fights)Nick Maximov(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +96.0|Blue -96.0

Recent Form

Red -1.1|Blue +1.1

Striker Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +63.0|Blue -63.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Punahele SorianoTargetNick Maximov

By target zone

61% acc · 62%

Head

58% acc · 66%

100% acc · 38%

Body

75% acc · 21%

Leg

100% acc · 14%

By position

53% acc · 44%

Distance

48% acc · 52%

100% acc · 4%

Clinch

100% acc · 34%

100% acc · 51%

Ground

100% acc · 14%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Punahele Soriano rounds

even

Nick Maximov rounds

Round 1Nick Maximov edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:40

5Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

2:16Control

Round 2Nick Maximov edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:54

13Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

2:20Control

Round 3Nick Maximov edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:03

11Sig. strikes

5Takedowns

4:09Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

45 / 63

Sig Strikes

29 / 45

75.3%

Sig Str %

64.7%

74 / 93

Total Strikes

60 / 82

0 / 0

TDs

11 / 16

—

TD %

72.3%

Sub Att

Rev

1:37

Ctrl Time

8:45

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Nick Maximov	5 / 14	10 / 20	3 / 7	1
1	Punahele Soriano	15 / 21	22 / 28	0 / 0	0
2	Nick Maximov	13 / 19	19 / 27	3 / 4	0
2	Punahele Soriano	21 / 32	32 / 43	0 / 0	0
3	Nick Maximov	11 / 12	31 / 35	5 / 5	0
3	Punahele Soriano	9 / 10	20 / 22	0 / 0	0

Punahele Soriano

StanceSouthpaw

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights11

Nick Maximov

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights4