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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Punahele Soriano won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1535

Elo1442

Punahele SorianovsDalcha LungiambulaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · Saturday, July 16, 2022Elmont, New York, USA

Official fight result

Punahele Soriano won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 0:28

Model Prediction: Punahele Soriano wins(80.2%)

Actual result: Punahele Soriano wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Punahele Soriano at -250 American odds

+$40 profit

$140 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Punahele Soriano enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Dalcha Lungiambula enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Punahele Soriano is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Dalcha Lungiambula has lost 60% of fights by KO.
Dalcha Lungiambula has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Punahele Soriano (53.5%).
Dalcha Lungiambula has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Punahele Soriano

Red Corner

Dalcha Lungiambula

Blue Corner

-250

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+210

(32%)

1535

Elo

1442

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'8"

182.88 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Punahele SorianoW4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Dustin Stoltzfus · Dec 23

vs Miguel Baeza · Jun 24

KOvs Uros Medic · Jan 25

vs Nikolay Veretennikov · Oct 25

vs Ramiz Brahimaj · Feb 26

latest

Dalcha LungiambulaL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Magomed Ankalaev · Nov 19

vs Markus Perez · Jan 21

vs Marc-Andre Barriault · Sep 21

SUBvs Cody Brundage · Mar 22

KOvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Dec 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Punahele SorianoMetricDalcha Lungiambula

4.42

Strikes / min

3.07

3.31

Strikes absorbed / min

3.93

47%

Strike defense

52%

1.97

TDs / 15 min

2.14

48%

Takedown defense

77%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.11Δ 1.97 — meaningful gap-0.86

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Punahele SorianoDalcha Lungiambula

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Punahele Soriano(10 fights)Dalcha Lungiambula(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +93.3|Blue -93.3

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +35.0|Blue -35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Punahele SorianoTargetDalcha Lungiambula

By target zone

32% acc · 47%

Head

38% acc · 55%

90% acc · 53%

Body

67% acc · 18%

Leg

100% acc · 27%

By position

35% acc · 53%

Distance

50% acc · 82%

80% acc · 24%

Clinch

0% acc

100% acc · 24%

Ground

100% acc · 18%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Punahele Soriano rounds

even

Dalcha Lungiambula rounds

Round 1Dalcha Lungiambula edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:01

10Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:39Control

Round 2Punahele Soriano edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:03

Knockdowns1

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

17 / 35

Sig Strikes

11 / 22

62%

Sig Str %

73.5%

19 / 37

Total Strikes

17 / 28

0 / 1

TDs

2 / 2

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:04

Ctrl Time

1:39

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Dalcha Lungiambula	10 / 21	16 / 27	2 / 2
1	Punahele Soriano	11 / 28	13 / 30	0 / 1
2	Dalcha Lungiambula	1 / 1	1 / 1	0 / 0
2	Punahele Soriano	6 / 7	6 / 7	0 / 0

Punahele Soriano

StanceSouthpaw

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights11

Dalcha Lungiambula

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights7