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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Priscila Cachoeira won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1459

Elo1493

Priscila CachoeiravsShana DobsonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · Saturday, February 22, 2020Auckland, New Zealand

Official fight result

Priscila Cachoeira won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:40

Model Prediction: Shana Dobson wins(52.0%)

Actual result: Priscila Cachoeira wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Shana Dobson at -220 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Priscila Cachoeira enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Priscila Cachoeira is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Shana Dobson has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Priscila Cachoeira has 55pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Shana Dobson has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Priscila Cachoeira

Red Corner

Shana Dobson

Blue Corner

+180

(36%)

Vegas Odds

-220

(69%)

1459

Elo

1493

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'6"

165.1 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Priscila CachoeiraL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Jan 24

KOvs Josiane Nunes · Mar 25

KOvs Joselyne Edwards · Aug 25

vs Klaudia Sygula · Feb 26

SUBvs Chelsea Chandler · Jun 26

latest

Shana Dobson

oldest →

KOvs Ariel Beck · Dec 17

vs Lauren Mueller · Apr 18

vs Sabina Mazo · Aug 19

KOvs Mariya Agapova · Aug 20

KOvs Casey O'Neill · Feb 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Priscila CachoeiraMetricShana Dobson

4.43

Strikes / min

3.34

7.60

Strikes absorbed / min

5.20

45%

Strike defense

50%

0.25

TDs / 15 min

0.84

69%

Takedown defense

14%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-3.17Δ 1.31 — meaningful gap-1.86

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Priscila CachoeiraShana Dobson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Priscila Cachoeira(10 fights)Shana Dobson(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -33.8|Blue +33.8

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +98.0|Blue -98.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Priscila CachoeiraTargetShana Dobson

By target zone

44% acc · 100%

Head

44% acc · 80%

Body

50% acc · 20%

Leg

By position

47% acc · 100%

Distance

45% acc · 100%

Clinch

0% acc

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Priscila Cachoeira rounds

even

Shana Dobson rounds

Round 1Priscila Cachoeira edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:02

Knockdowns1

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

8 / 18

Sig Strikes

5 / 11

44%

Sig Str %

45%

8 / 18

Total Strikes

5 / 11

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:02

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Shana Dobson	5 / 11	5 / 11	0 / 0	0
1	Priscila Cachoeira	8 / 18	8 / 18	0 / 0	0

Priscila Cachoeira

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights14

Shana Dobson

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights6