← All fights/Event page

Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Chelsea Chandler won · Submission R1

Elo1459

Elo1502

Priscila CachoeiravsChelsea ChandlerUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · Saturday, June 6, 2026Las Vegas, USA

Official fight result

Chelsea Chandler won

Submission · Round 1 · 3:42

Engine 7.0 was wrong

Pre-fight pick: Priscila Cachoeira

Model Prediction: Chelsea Chandler wins(58.9%)

Actual result: Chelsea Chandler wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Priscila Cachoeira has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Priscila Cachoeira

Red Corner

Chelsea Chandler

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1459

Elo

1502

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'7"

Height

5'8"

165.1 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Priscila CachoeiraL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Miranda Maverick · Jul 23

SUBvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Jan 24

KOvs Josiane Nunes · Mar 25

KOvs Joselyne Edwards · Aug 25

vs Klaudia Sygula · Feb 26

latest

Chelsea ChandlerL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Julija Stoliarenko · Oct 22

vs Norma Dumont · Jul 23

vs Josiane Nunes · Mar 24

vs Yana Santos · Aug 24

KOvs Joselyne Edwards · Apr 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Priscila CachoeiraMetricChelsea Chandler

4.43

Strikes / min

3.55

7.60

Strikes absorbed / min

4.44

45%

Strike defense

40%

0.25

TDs / 15 min

0.87

69%

Takedown defense

28%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-3.17Δ 2.28 — meaningful gap-0.89

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Priscila Cachoeira(10 fights)Chelsea Chandler(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -42.9|Blue +42.9

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -287.0|Blue +287.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Priscila CachoeiraTargetChelsea Chandler

By target zone

55% acc · 86%

Head

41% acc · 82%

0% acc

Body

67% acc · 18%

100% acc · 14%

Leg

By position

50% acc · 86%

Distance

41% acc · 82%

Clinch

100% acc · 18%

100% acc · 14%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Priscila Cachoeira rounds

even

Chelsea Chandler rounds

Round 1Chelsea Chandler edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns1

Control0:23

Knockdowns0

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:52Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

7 / 13

Sig Strikes

11 / 25

53%

Sig Str %

44%

9 / 16

Total Strikes

24 / 41

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:23

Ctrl Time

1:52

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Chelsea Chandler	11 / 25	24 / 41	0 / 0	1
1	Priscila Cachoeira	7 / 13	9 / 16	1 / 1	0

The Pick

Vegas favorite

—

Odds

—

Market-implied probability

No market line yet

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

No Vegas odds available yet.

No market line yet · model 52% (research) · vufc_v4_pure_sklearn_histgb_20260528_113051

🔒 Pick locked Jun 4, 2026, 3:29 PM UTC · never rewritten

Priscila Cachoeira

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights14

Chelsea Chandler

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights6