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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Preston Parsons won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1518

Preston ParsonsvsEvan ElderUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · Saturday, April 23, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Preston Parsons won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupPreston Parsons: WrestlervsEvan Elder: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Preston Parsons wins(61.7%)

Actual result: Preston Parsons wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Preston Parsons at -150 American odds

+$67 profit

$167 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Evan Elder enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Preston Parsons has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Evan Elder (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Preston Parsons

Red Corner

Evan Elder

Blue Corner

-150

(60%)

Vegas Odds

+130

(43%)

1490

Elo

1518

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

5'11"

Height

5'10"

180.34 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Preston ParsonsL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Daniel Rodriguez · Jul 21

vs Trevin Giles · Mar 23

vs Matthew Semelsberger · Jan 24

vs Oban Elliott · Jul 24

KOvs Jacobe Smith · Jan 25

latest

Evan ElderW3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Nazim Sadykhov · Feb 23

vs Genaro Valdez · Jul 23

SUBvs Darrius Flowers · Jul 24

vs Gauge Young · Apr 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Preston ParsonsMetricEvan Elder

3.54

Strikes / min

5.66

3.25

Strikes absorbed / min

4.94

54%

Strike defense

57%

3.46

TDs / 15 min

0.48

71%

Takedown defense

40%

2.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.29evenly matched on net striking+0.72

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Preston ParsonsEvan Elder

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Preston Parsons(6 fights)Evan Elder(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -28.1|Blue +28.1

Recent Form

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Striker Score

Red -49.4|Blue +49.4

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Preston ParsonsTargetEvan Elder

By target zone

64% acc · 80%

Head

28% acc · 44%

82% acc · 12%

Body

92% acc · 41%

86% acc · 8%

Leg

80% acc · 15%

By position

57% acc · 44%

Distance

45% acc · 96%

64% acc · 9%

Clinch

100% acc · 4%

81% acc · 47%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Preston Parsons rounds

even

Evan Elder rounds

Round 1Preston Parsons edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns2

Control2:16

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:35Control

Round 2Preston Parsons edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns2

Control2:55

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:52Control

Round 3Preston Parsons edged it

Sig. strikes43

Takedowns0

Control2:37

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:20Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

75 / 112

Sig Strikes

27 / 60

64.3%

Sig Str %

44.7%

121 / 160

Total Strikes

34 / 67

4 / 6

TDs

0 / 2

66.7%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

7:48

Ctrl Time

1:47

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Evan Elder	12 / 22	15 / 25	0 / 1	0
1	Preston Parsons	16 / 28	23 / 35	2 / 2	2
2	Evan Elder	7 / 15	8 / 16	0 / 0	0
2	Preston Parsons	16 / 25	40 / 49	2 / 2	2
3	Evan Elder	8 / 23	11 / 26	0 / 1	0
3	Preston Parsons	43 / 59	58 / 76	0 / 2	1

Preston Parsons

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights6

Evan Elder

StanceSwitch

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights5