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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

JJ Aldrich won · U-DEC R3

Elo1460

Elo1522

Polyana VianavsJJ AldrichUFC Prediction Result

UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · Saturday, August 4, 2018Los Angeles, California, USA

Official fight result

JJ Aldrich won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: JJ Aldrich wins(56.6%)

Actual result: JJ Aldrich wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

JJ Aldrich at +135 American odds

+$135 profit

$235 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Polyana Viana enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
JJ Aldrich has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors JJ Aldrich (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Polyana Viana

Red Corner

JJ Aldrich

Blue Corner

-155

(61%)

Vegas Odds

+135

(43%)

1460

Elo

1522

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'5"

Height

5'5"

170.18 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Polyana VianaL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Jinh Yu Frey · Nov 22

SUBvs Iasmin Lucindo · Aug 23

KOvs Gillian Robertson · Jan 24

SUBvs Jaqueline Amorim · Apr 25

SUBvs Alice Ardelean · May 26

latest

JJ AldrichW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Liang Na · Aug 23

vs Montana De La Rosa · Oct 23

vs Veronica Hardy · May 24

vs Andrea Lee · Mar 25

DECvs Jamey-Lyn Horth · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Polyana VianaMetricJJ Aldrich

2.74

Strikes / min

3.92

2.50

Strikes absorbed / min

4.34

53%

Strike defense

61%

0.75

TDs / 15 min

0.70

35%

Takedown defense

67%

1.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.24evenly matched on net striking-0.42

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Polyana VianaJJ Aldrich

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Polyana Viana(10 fights)JJ Aldrich(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -61.6|Blue +61.6

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red -2.1|Blue +2.1

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -20.0|Blue +20.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Polyana VianaTargetJJ Aldrich

By target zone

25% acc · 52%

Head

47% acc · 90%

63% acc · 33%

Body

60% acc · 8%

88% acc · 15%

Leg

100% acc · 3%

By position

32% acc · 80%

Distance

42% acc · 78%

75% acc · 13%

Clinch

88% acc · 18%

60% acc · 7%

Ground

100% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Polyana Viana rounds

even

JJ Aldrich rounds

Round 1Polyana Viana edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:29

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:34Control

Round 2Polyana Viana edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns1

Control0:32

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:24Control

Round 3JJ Aldrich edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:57Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

46 / 129

Sig Strikes

40 / 83

38%

Sig Str %

49.7%

86 / 175

Total Strikes

50 / 96

1 / 5

TDs

0 / 1

25%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:01

Ctrl Time

5:55

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	JJ Aldrich	8 / 14	9 / 16	0 / 0
1	Polyana Viana	15 / 24	27 / 38	0 / 3
2	JJ Aldrich	18 / 39	21 / 42	0 / 1
2	Polyana Viana	25 / 67	28 / 70	1 / 2
3	JJ Aldrich	14 / 30	20 / 38	0 / 0
3	Polyana Viana	6 / 38	31 / 67	0 / 0

Polyana Viana

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights11

JJ Aldrich

StanceSouthpaw

Height65.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights16