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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Polyana Viana won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1460
Elo1477
Jinh Yu Frey

Polyana VianavsJinh Yu FreyUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · Saturday, November 5, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Polyana Viana won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:47

Model Prediction: Polyana Viana wins(64.6%)

Actual result: Polyana Viana wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Polyana Viana at -145 American odds

+$69 profit

$169 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Polyana Viana enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
  • Jinh Yu Frey enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Jinh Yu Frey has 55pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Jinh Yu Frey (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Polyana Viana
Red Corner
VS
Jinh Yu Frey
Blue Corner
-145
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+125
(44%)
1460
Elo
1477
34
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'5"
Height
5'3"
170.18 cm
Reach
165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Polyana VianaL5 streak
oldest →
L
vs Tabatha Ricci · May 22
L
SUBvs Iasmin Lucindo · Aug 23
L
KOvs Gillian Robertson · Jan 24
L
SUBvs Jaqueline Amorim · Apr 25
L
SUBvs Alice Ardelean · May 26
latest
Jinh Yu FreyL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Gloria de Paula · Mar 21
W
vs Ashley Yoder · Jul 21
L
vs Vanessa Demopoulos · Jun 22
L
vs Elise Reed · Jun 23
L
vs Viktoriia Dudakova · Oct 23
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Polyana VianaMetricJinh Yu Frey
2.74
Strikes / min
2.97
2.50
Strikes absorbed / min
4.23
53%
Strike defense
52%
0.75
TDs / 15 min
1.02
35%
Takedown defense
90%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.24Δ 1.50 — meaningful gap-1.26

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1486 vs 1485Strikes3.0 vs 3.0Takedowns0.8 vs 1.0Sub Atts1.90 vs 0.30Form-0.4 vs -0.3
Polyana VianaJinh Yu Frey

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14501468148515031520← oldermost recent →
Polyana Viana(10 fights)Jinh Yu Frey(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -16.7|Blue +16.7
Recent Form
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red +35.0|Blue -35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Polyana VianaTargetJinh Yu Frey

By target zone

10
59% acc · 91%
Head
0
0% acc
1
100% acc · 9%
Body
3
50% acc · 50%
0
Leg
3
100% acc · 50%

By position

9
56% acc · 82%
Distance
6
43% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
2
100% acc · 18%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Polyana Viana rounds
0
even
0
Jinh Yu Frey rounds
Round 1Polyana Viana edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns0
Control0:03
Knockdowns1
6Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
11 / 18
Sig Strikes
6 / 14
61%
Sig Str %
42%
11 / 18
Total Strikes
6 / 14
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:03
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Jinh Yu Frey6 / 146 / 140 / 00
1Polyana Viana11 / 1811 / 180 / 00

Polyana Viana

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights11

Jinh Yu Frey

StanceSouthpaw
Height63.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights8