Skip to content
Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Hannah Cifers won · S-DEC R3
Elo1460
Elo1388

Polyana VianavsHannah CifersUFC Prediction Result

UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · Saturday, March 2, 2019Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Hannah Cifers won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Hannah Cifers wins(53.8%)

Actual result: Hannah Cifers wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Hannah Cifers at +240 American odds

+$240 profit

$340 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Polyana Viana enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
  • Hannah Cifers enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
  • Polyana Viana threatens submissions; Hannah Cifers has lost 60% of fights by sub.
  • Hannah Cifers has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Polyana Viana has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Polyana Viana
Red Corner
VS
Hannah Cifers
Blue Corner
-280
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+240
(29%)
1460
Elo
1388
34
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'1"
170.18 cm
Reach
157.48 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Polyana VianaL4 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Jinh Yu Frey · Nov 22
L
SUBvs Iasmin Lucindo · Aug 23
L
KOvs Gillian Robertson · Jan 24
L
SUBvs Jaqueline Amorim · Apr 25
L
SUBvs Alice Ardelean · May 26
latest
Hannah CifersL4 streak
oldest →
W
vs Jodie Esquibel · Aug 19
L
KOvs Angela Hill · Jan 20
L
SUBvs Mackenzie Dern · May 20
L
SUBvs Mariya Agapova · Jun 20
L
SUBvs Mallory Martin · Aug 20
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Polyana VianaMetricHannah Cifers
2.74
Strikes / min
4.99
2.50
Strikes absorbed / min
5.39
53%
Strike defense
52%
0.75
TDs / 15 min
0.26
35%
Takedown defense
64%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.24evenly matched on net striking-0.40

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1484Strikes29.0 vs 41.0Takedowns1.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts1.50 vs 0.00Form-0.2 vs -1.0
Polyana VianaHannah Cifers

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14501468148515031520← oldermost recent →
Polyana Viana(10 fights)Hannah Cifers(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +72.2|Blue -72.2
Recent Form
Red +0.8|Blue -0.8
Striker Score
Red +0.6|Blue -0.6
Grappler Score
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff
Red +98.0|Blue -98.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Polyana VianaTargetHannah Cifers

By target zone

29
25% acc · 38%
Head
21
25% acc · 31%
28
72% acc · 36%
Body
31
65% acc · 46%
20
95% acc · 26%
Leg
15
63% acc · 22%

By position

65
40% acc · 84%
Distance
54
39% acc · 81%
8
100% acc · 10%
Clinch
8
100% acc · 12%
4
100% acc · 5%
Ground
5
56% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Polyana Viana rounds
2
even
1
Hannah Cifers rounds
Round 1Hannah Cifers edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:53Control
1Knockdowns
Round 2Even round
Sig. strikes15
Takedowns0
Control0:00
7Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
3:38Control
Round 3Even round
Sig. strikes45
Takedowns0
Control0:00
43Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:07Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
77 / 174
Sig Strikes
67 / 155
45.3%
Sig Str %
38.7%
125 / 236
Total Strikes
91 / 182
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
4:38

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Hannah Cifers17 / 4822 / 550 / 00
1Polyana Viana17 / 4517 / 460 / 00
2Hannah Cifers7 / 2326 / 430 / 00
2Polyana Viana15 / 2763 / 880 / 00
3Hannah Cifers43 / 8443 / 840 / 00
3Polyana Viana45 / 10245 / 1020 / 00

Polyana Viana

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights11

Hannah Cifers

StanceOrthodox
Height61.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights7