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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Polyana Viana won · SUB R1
Elo1460
Elo1408
Emily Whitmire

Polyana VianavsEmily WhitmireUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · Saturday, August 29, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Polyana Viana won

SUB · Round 1 · 1:53

Model Prediction: Polyana Viana wins(54.5%)

Actual result: Polyana Viana wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Polyana Viana at +110 American odds

+$110 profit

$210 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Polyana Viana enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
  • Polyana Viana threatens submissions; Emily Whitmire has lost 100% of fights by sub.
  • Emily Whitmire threatens submissions; Polyana Viana has lost 50% of fights by sub.
  • Emily Whitmire has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Polyana Viana has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Polyana Viana
Red Corner
VS
Emily Whitmire
Blue Corner
+110
(48%)
Vegas Odds
-139
(58%)
1460
Elo
1408
34
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'5"
170.18 cm
Reach
160.02 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Polyana VianaL4 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Jinh Yu Frey · Nov 22
L
SUBvs Iasmin Lucindo · Aug 23
L
KOvs Gillian Robertson · Jan 24
L
SUBvs Jaqueline Amorim · Apr 25
L
SUBvs Alice Ardelean · May 26
latest
Emily WhitmireL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Gillian Robertson · Dec 17
W
vs Jamie Moyle · Jul 18
W
SUBvs Alexandra Albu · Feb 19
L
SUBvs Amanda Ribas · Jun 19
L
SUBvs Hannah Goldy · Sep 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Polyana VianaMetricEmily Whitmire
2.74
Strikes / min
2.50
2.50
Strikes absorbed / min
2.98
53%
Strike defense
54%
0.75
TDs / 15 min
1.90
35%
Takedown defense
70%
1.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.24evenly matched on net striking-0.48

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1466 vs 1501Strikes3.9 vs 2.8Takedowns1.3 vs 1.2Sub Atts1.30 vs 0.60Form-0.8 vs -0.1
Polyana VianaEmily Whitmire

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14501468148515031520← oldermost recent →
Polyana Viana(10 fights)Emily Whitmire(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +52.4|Blue -52.4
Recent Form
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red -42.0|Blue +42.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Polyana VianaTargetEmily Whitmire

By target zone

6
50% acc · 67%
Head
1
11% acc · 50%
0
Body
0
0% acc
3
100% acc · 33%
Leg
1
100% acc · 50%

By position

6
50% acc · 67%
Distance
2
18% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
3
100% acc · 33%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Polyana Viana rounds
0
even
0
Emily Whitmire rounds
Round 1Polyana Viana edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:00
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:02Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
9 / 15
Sig Strikes
2 / 11
60%
Sig Str %
18%
18 / 24
Total Strikes
5 / 15
0 / 1
TDs
0 / 1
0%
TD %
0%
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
1:02

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Emily Whitmire2 / 115 / 150 / 10
1Polyana Viana9 / 1518 / 240 / 11

Polyana Viana

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights11

Emily Whitmire

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights6