Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Lightweight
3 Rounds
Polo Reyes won · KO/TKO R3
Elo1491
Elo1379

Polo ReyesvsDong Hyun MaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · Saturday, June 4, 2016Los Angeles, California, USA

Official fight result

Polo Reyes won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 1:52

Model Prediction: Polo Reyes wins(53.1%)

Actual result: Polo Reyes wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Polo Reyes at -115 American odds

+$87 profit

$187 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Dong Hyun Ma enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Polo Reyes is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Dong Hyun Ma has lost 80% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Polo Reyes
Red Corner
VS
Dong Hyun Ma
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
1491
Elo
1379
31
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'11"
180.34 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Polo Reyes
oldest →
W
KOvs Cesar Arzamendia · Nov 15
W
DECvs Jason Novelli · Nov 16
L
KOvs James Vick · May 17
W
KOvs Matt Frevola · Jan 18
L
KOvs Damir Hadzovic · Feb 19
latest
Dong Hyun MaL3 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Takanori Gomi · Sep 17
W
vs Damien Brown · Feb 18
L
KOvs Devonte Smith · Feb 19
L
KOvs Scott Holtzman · Aug 19
L
DECvs Omar Antonio Morales Ferrer · Dec 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Polo ReyesMetricDong Hyun Ma
—
Strikes / min
2.84
—
Strikes absorbed / min
4.10
—
Strike defense
54%
—
TDs / 15 min
1.27
—
Takedown defense
33%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1519 vs 1481Strikes10.0 vs 19.0Takedowns0.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form1.0 vs -1.0
Polo ReyesDong Hyun Ma

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Polo Reyes(6 fights)Dong Hyun Ma(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +112.5|Blue -112.5
Recent Form
Red +2.0|Blue -2.0
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +7.0|Blue -7.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Polo Reyes

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights2

Dong Hyun Ma

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights8