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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Poliana Botelho won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1426

Elo1374

Poliana BotelhovsSyuri KondoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · Saturday, May 19, 2018Santiago, Chile

Official fight result

Poliana Botelho won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:33

Style matchupPoliana Botelho: Well-roundedvsSyuri Kondo: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Syuri Kondo wins(52.4%)

Actual result: Poliana Botelho wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Syuri Kondo at +164 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Poliana Botelho enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Poliana Botelho

Red Corner

Syuri Kondo

Blue Corner

-174

(64%)

Vegas Odds

+164

(38%)

1426

Elo

1374

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'4"

170.18 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Poliana BotelhoL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Cynthia Calvillo · Nov 18

vs Lauren Mueller · Apr 19

vs Gillian Robertson · Oct 20

vs Luana Carolina · May 21

SUBvs Karine Silva · Jun 22

latest

Syuri KondoL2 streak

oldest →

DECvs Chanmi Jeon · Sep 17

DECvs Yan Xiaonan · Nov 18

vs Ashley Yoder · Jun 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Poliana BotelhoMetricSyuri Kondo

2.90

Strikes / min

5.40

2.80

Strikes absorbed / min

7.22

54%

Strike defense

58%

0.85

TDs / 15 min

0.00

76%

Takedown defense

83%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.10Δ 1.92 — meaningful gap-1.82

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Poliana BotelhoSyuri Kondo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Poliana Botelho(7 fights)Syuri Kondo(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +52.5|Blue -52.5

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -15.0|Blue +15.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Poliana BotelhoTargetSyuri Kondo

By target zone

70% acc · 78%

Head

0% acc

50% acc · 11%

Body

100% acc · 11%

Leg

100% acc · 100%

By position

50% acc · 33%

Distance

67% acc · 100%

Clinch

86% acc · 67%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Poliana Botelho rounds

even

Syuri Kondo rounds

Round 1Poliana Botelho edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns0

Control0:05

Knockdowns1

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

9 / 13

Sig Strikes

2 / 3

69%

Sig Str %

66%

9 / 13

Total Strikes

2 / 3

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:05

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Syuri Kondo	2 / 3	2 / 3	0 / 0	0
1	Poliana Botelho	9 / 13	9 / 13	0 / 0	0

Poliana Botelho

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights7

Syuri Kondo

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights4