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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Piera Rodriguez won · U-DEC R3

Elo1527

Elo1421

Piera RodriguezvsKay HansenUFC Prediction Result

UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · Saturday, April 9, 2022Jacksonville, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Piera Rodriguez won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Piera Rodriguez wins(53.2%)

Actual result: Piera Rodriguez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Piera Rodriguez at -125 American odds

+$80 profit

$180 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Piera Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Kay Hansen threatens submissions; Piera Rodriguez has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Piera Rodriguez has 44pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Piera Rodriguez

Red Corner

Kay Hansen

Blue Corner

-125

(56%)

Vegas Odds

+105

(49%)

1527

Elo

1421

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'3"

Height

5'2"

160.02 cm

Reach

160.02 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Piera RodriguezW3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Gillian Robertson · Apr 23

vs Ariane Carnelossi · May 24

vs Josefine Knutsson · Dec 24

vs Ketlen Souza · Aug 25

vs Sam Hughes · Mar 26

latest

Kay HansenL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Jinh Yu Frey · Jun 20

vs Cory McKenna · Nov 20

vs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Jan 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Piera RodriguezMetricKay Hansen

4.04

Strikes / min

3.01

3.13

Strikes absorbed / min

3.19

53%

Strike defense

51%

4.04

TDs / 15 min

1.83

81%

Takedown defense

37%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.91Δ 1.09 — meaningful gap-0.18

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Piera RodriguezKay Hansen

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Piera Rodriguez(7 fights)Kay Hansen(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +105.3|Blue -105.3

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red +49.7|Blue -49.7

Grappler Score

Red +49.7|Blue -49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Piera RodriguezTargetKay Hansen

By target zone

43% acc · 52%

Head

36% acc · 71%

86% acc · 36%

Body

54% acc · 23%

86% acc · 12%

Leg

67% acc · 6%

By position

49% acc · 68%

Distance

38% acc · 81%

83% acc · 20%

Clinch

50% acc · 16%

100% acc · 12%

Ground

100% acc · 3%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Piera Rodriguez rounds

even

Kay Hansen rounds

Round 1Kay Hansen edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:00

17Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:11Control

Round 2Piera Rodriguez edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns1

Control1:45

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:03Control

Round 3Piera Rodriguez edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns2

Control3:28

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

50 / 88

Sig Strikes

31 / 77

58%

Sig Str %

38%

77 / 124

Total Strikes

54 / 106

3 / 4

TDs

2 / 8

83%

TD %

13.3%

Sub Att

Rev

5:13

Ctrl Time

3:14

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Kay Hansen	17 / 35	22 / 42	2 / 5
1	Piera Rodriguez	13 / 35	16 / 39	0 / 0
2	Kay Hansen	7 / 21	19 / 33	0 / 2
2	Piera Rodriguez	23 / 31	29 / 40	1 / 1
3	Kay Hansen	7 / 21	13 / 31	0 / 1
3	Piera Rodriguez	14 / 22	32 / 45	2 / 3

Piera Rodriguez

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights7

Kay Hansen

StanceOrthodox

Height62.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights4