← All fights/Event page

Featherweight

3 Rounds

Phillipe Nover won · S-DEC R3

Elo1359

Elo1356

Phillipe NovervsYui Chul NamUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber · Saturday, May 16, 2015Manila, Philippines

Official fight result

Phillipe Nover won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Yui Chul Nam wins(69.3%)

Actual result: Phillipe Nover wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Yui Chul Nam at -155 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Phillipe Nover enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Phillipe Nover

Red Corner

Yui Chul Nam

Blue Corner

+135

(43%)

Vegas Odds

-155

(61%)

1359

Elo

1356

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'9"

182.88 cm

Reach

175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Phillipe NoverL3 streak

oldest →

vs Zubaira Tukhugov · Dec 15

vs Renan Barao · Sep 16

vs Rick Glenn · Feb 17

latest

Yui Chul Nam

oldest →

vs Kazuki Tokudome · Mar 14

vs Mike de la Torre · Nov 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Phillipe NoverMetricYui Chul Nam

1.79

Strikes / min

3.53

2.48

Strikes absorbed / min

2.00

56%

Strike defense

48%

0.99

TDs / 15 min

1.33

44%

Takedown defense

57%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.69Δ 2.22 — meaningful gap+1.53

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Phillipe NoverYui Chul Nam

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Phillipe Nover(4 fights)Yui Chul Nam(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +3.6|Blue -3.6

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red +50.0|Blue -50.0

Grappler Score

Red +50.0|Blue -50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Phillipe NoverTargetYui Chul Nam

By target zone

39% acc · 58%

Head

36% acc · 52%

80% acc · 33%

Body

60% acc · 10%

100% acc · 8%

Leg

85% acc · 38%

By position

30% acc · 25%

Distance

13% acc · 3%

78% acc · 58%

Clinch

84% acc · 55%

40% acc · 17%

Ground

36% acc · 41%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Phillipe Nover rounds

even

Yui Chul Nam rounds

Round 1Phillipe Nover edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns4

Control4:34

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 2Yui Chul Nam edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns2

Control1:46

20Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:07Control

Round 3Yui Chul Nam edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns0

Control0:00

6Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:23Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

12 / 24

Sig Strikes

29 / 60

41%

Sig Str %

47.3%

54 / 74

Total Strikes

56 / 92

6 / 12

TDs

2 / 3

48.5%

TD %

75%

Sub Att

Rev

6:20

Ctrl Time

6:32

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Yui Chul Nam	3 / 6	4 / 7	0 / 0	0
1	Phillipe Nover	10 / 12	25 / 35	4 / 7	0
2	Yui Chul Nam	20 / 40	30 / 53	1 / 1	0
2	Phillipe Nover	2 / 5	12 / 15	2 / 5	0
3	Yui Chul Nam	6 / 14	22 / 32	1 / 2	1
3	Phillipe Nover	0 / 7	17 / 24	0 / 0	0

Phillipe Nover

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights4

Yui Chul Nam

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach—

Fights3