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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Seokhyeon Ko won · U-DEC R3

Elo1484

Elo1505

Phil RowevsSeokhyeon KoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · Saturday, November 1, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Seokhyeon Ko won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupPhil Rowe: StrikervsSeokhyeon Ko: Wrestler

Classic striker-vs-wrestler. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.

Model Prediction: Seokhyeon Ko wins(80.0%)

Actual result: Seokhyeon Ko wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Seokhyeon Ko at -180 American odds

+$56 profit

$156 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Seokhyeon Ko has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Stance matchup historically favors Seokhyeon Ko (53.5%).
Phil Rowe has a 23cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Phil Rowe

Red Corner

Seokhyeon Ko

Blue Corner

+152

(40%)

Vegas Odds

-180

(64%)

1484

Elo

1505

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'3"

Height

5'10"

203.2 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Phil Rowe

oldest →

KOvs Niko Price · Dec 22

vs Neil Magny · Jun 23

vs Jake Matthews · Jun 24

KOvs Ange Loosa · Jun 25

vs Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani · Feb 26

latest

Seokhyeon Ko

oldest →

vs Oban Elliott · Jun 25

DECvs Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Phil RoweMetricSeokhyeon Ko

3.51

Strikes / min

2.73

4.15

Strikes absorbed / min

1.42

50%

Strike defense

58%

0.46

TDs / 15 min

4.00

53%

Takedown defense

75%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.64Δ 1.95 — meaningful gap+1.31

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Phil RoweSeokhyeon Ko

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Phil Rowe(8 fights)Seokhyeon Ko(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -21.2|Blue +21.2

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red +7.0|Blue -7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Phil RoweTargetSeokhyeon Ko

By target zone

40% acc · 50%

Head

82% acc · 75%

100% acc · 25%

Body

100% acc · 25%

Leg

100% acc · 25%

By position

57% acc · 100%

Distance

75% acc · 33%

Clinch

Ground

92% acc · 67%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Phil Rowe rounds

even

Seokhyeon Ko rounds

Round 1Seokhyeon Ko edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:00

13Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

4:30Control

Round 2Seokhyeon Ko edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns0

Control0:00

11Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:32Control

Round 3Seokhyeon Ko edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:07

12Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:08Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

4 / 7

Sig Strikes

36 / 42

58.3%

Sig Str %

85.3%

11 / 15

Total Strikes

124 / 157

0 / 0

TDs

4 / 4

—

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:07

Ctrl Time

13:10

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Seokhyeon Ko	13 / 15	36 / 45	2 / 2
1	Phil Rowe	1 / 1	1 / 1	0 / 0
2	Seokhyeon Ko	11 / 14	47 / 60	1 / 1
2	Phil Rowe	0 / 2	4 / 7	0 / 0
3	Seokhyeon Ko	12 / 13	41 / 52	1 / 1
3	Phil Rowe	3 / 4	6 / 7	0 / 0

Phil Rowe

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights8

Seokhyeon Ko

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights3