← All fights/Event page

Welterweight

3 Rounds

Phil Rowe won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1484

Elo1496

Phil RowevsOrion CosceUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · Saturday, July 31, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Phil Rowe won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:21

Style matchupPhil Rowe: StrikervsOrion Cosce: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Phil Rowe wins(65.1%)

Actual result: Phil Rowe wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Phil Rowe at +145 American odds

+$145 profit

$245 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Phil Rowe is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Orion Cosce has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Stance matchup historically favors Orion Cosce (52.9%).
Phil Rowe has a 23cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Phil Rowe

Red Corner

Orion Cosce

Blue Corner

+145

(41%)

Vegas Odds

-165

(62%)

1484

Elo

1496

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

6'3"

Height

5'11"

203.2 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Phil RoweL2 streak

oldest →

vs Neil Magny · Jun 23

vs Jake Matthews · Jun 24

KOvs Ange Loosa · Jun 25

vs Seokhyeon Ko · Nov 25

vs Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani · Feb 26

latest

Orion Cosce

oldest →

vs Blood Diamond · Jul 22

KOvs Gilbert Urbina · May 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Phil RoweMetricOrion Cosce

3.51

Strikes / min

2.77

4.15

Strikes absorbed / min

4.02

50%

Strike defense

44%

0.46

TDs / 15 min

1.92

53%

Takedown defense

61%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.64evenly matched on net striking-1.25

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Phil RoweOrion Cosce

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Phil Rowe(8 fights)Orion Cosce(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -11.9|Blue +11.9

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Phil RoweTargetOrion Cosce

By target zone

42% acc · 70%

Head

38% acc · 77%

81% acc · 28%

Body

75% acc · 14%

100% acc · 2%

Leg

67% acc · 9%

By position

42% acc · 72%

Distance

36% acc · 73%

87% acc · 28%

Clinch

60% acc · 14%

Ground

100% acc · 14%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Phil Rowe rounds

even

Orion Cosce rounds

Round 1Orion Cosce edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:00

7Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

4:35Control

Round 2Phil Rowe edged it

Sig. strikes43

Takedowns0

Control0:14

Knockdowns1

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:59Control

0Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

46 / 93

Sig Strikes

22 / 52

49.5%

Sig Str %

49.5%

53 / 101

Total Strikes

51 / 82

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 6

—

TD %

25%

Sub Att

Rev

0:14

Ctrl Time

6:34

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Orion Cosce	7 / 11	22 / 27	2 / 4
1	Phil Rowe	3 / 6	8 / 12	0 / 0
2	Orion Cosce	15 / 41	29 / 55	0 / 2
2	Phil Rowe	43 / 87	45 / 89	0 / 0

Phil Rowe

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights8

Orion Cosce

StanceSwitch

Height71.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights3