Welterweight

3 Rounds

Phil Rowe won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1484

Phil RowevsAnge LoosaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · Saturday, June 14, 2025Atlanta, Georgia, USA

Official fight result

Phil Rowe won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 4:03

Style matchupPhil Rowe: StrikervsAnge Loosa: Wrestler

Classic striker-vs-wrestler. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.

Model Prediction: Phil Rowe wins(54.5%)

Actual result: Phil Rowe wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Phil Rowe at +152 American odds

+$152 profit

$252 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Phil Rowe enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Ange Loosa has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Phil Rowe has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Phil Rowe

Red Corner

Ange Loosa

Blue Corner

+152

(40%)

Vegas Odds

-180

(64%)

1484

Elo

1484

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

5'10"

203.2 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Phil RoweL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Niko Price · Dec 22

vs Neil Magny · Jun 23

vs Jake Matthews · Jun 24

vs Seokhyeon Ko · Nov 25

vs Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani · Feb 26

latest

Ange Loosa

oldest →

vs Mounir Lazzez · Apr 22

vs AJ Fletcher · Aug 22

vs Rhys McKee · Sep 23

vs Gabriel Bonfim · Jul 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Phil RoweMetricAnge Loosa

3.51

Strikes / min

5.46

4.15

Strikes absorbed / min

6.59

50%

Strike defense

52%

0.46

TDs / 15 min

2.53

53%

Takedown defense

83%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.64evenly matched on net striking-1.13

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Phil RoweAnge Loosa

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Phil Rowe(8 fights)Ange Loosa(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +42.0|Blue -42.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Phil RoweTargetAnge Loosa

By target zone

49% acc · 86%

Head

46% acc · 49%

75% acc · 11%

Body

81% acc · 20%

60% acc · 4%

Leg

95% acc · 31%

By position

49% acc · 84%

Distance

56% acc · 72%

74% acc · 16%

Clinch

83% acc · 15%

0% acc

Ground

80% acc · 12%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Phil Rowe rounds

even

Ange Loosa rounds

Round 1Ange Loosa edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:00

15Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:58Control

Round 2Ange Loosa edged it

Sig. strikes34

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

43Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:15Control

1Knockdowns

Round 3Phil Rowe edged it

Sig. strikes49

Takedowns0

Control0:10

Knockdowns1

7Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

85 / 166

Sig Strikes

65 / 106

56%

Sig Str %

59.7%

103 / 187

Total Strikes

130 / 180

0 / 0

TDs

3 / 7

—

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:10

Ctrl Time

6:13

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ange Loosa	15 / 23	58 / 73	1 / 2
1	Phil Rowe	2 / 3	8 / 10	0 / 0
2	Ange Loosa	43 / 70	65 / 94	0 / 3
2	Phil Rowe	34 / 85	46 / 99	0 / 0
3	Ange Loosa	7 / 13	7 / 13	2 / 2
3	Phil Rowe	49 / 78	49 / 78	0 / 0

Phil Rowe

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights8

Ange Loosa

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights5