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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Petr Yan won · U-DEC R3
Elo1532
Petr Yan
Elo1375

Petr YanvsJin Soo SonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · Saturday, September 15, 2018Moscow, Moscow, Russia

Official fight result

Petr Yan won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupPetr Yan: Pressure fightervsJin Soo Son: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Petr Yan wins(75.2%)

Actual result: Petr Yan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Petr Yan at -1200 American odds

+$8 profit

$108 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Petr Yan enters on a 4-fight win streak.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Petr Yan (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Petr Yan
Red Corner
VS
Jin Soo Son
Blue Corner
-1200
(92%)
Vegas Odds
+775
(11%)
1532
Elo
1375
33
Age
33
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'6"
170.18 cm
Reach
175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Petr YanW4 streak
oldest →
L
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Mar 23
W
vs Song Yadong · Mar 24
W
vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Nov 24
W
vs Marcus McGhee · Jul 25
W
vs Merab Dvalishvili · Dec 25
latest
Jin Soo Son
oldest →
L
vs Mario Bautista · Jul 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Petr YanMetricJin Soo Son
5.16
Strikes / min
5.10
4.24
Strikes absorbed / min
7.63
59%
Strike defense
52%
1.70
TDs / 15 min
1.50
86%
Takedown defense
100%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.92Δ 3.45 — meaningful gap-2.53

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1516 vs 1500Strikes25.0 vs Takedowns0.0 vs Sub Atts0.00 vs Form1.0 vs 0.0
Petr YanJin Soo Son

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801498151515331550← oldermost recent →
Petr Yan(10 fights)Jin Soo Son(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +157.6|Blue -157.6
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Petr YanTargetJin Soo Son

By target zone

87
40% acc · 87%
Head
51
25% acc · 88%
10
77% acc · 10%
Body
4
31% acc · 7%
3
100% acc · 3%
Leg
3
75% acc · 5%

By position

73
37% acc · 73%
Distance
47
23% acc · 81%
20
69% acc · 20%
Clinch
7
54% acc · 12%
7
88% acc · 7%
Ground
4
67% acc · 7%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Petr Yan rounds
1
even
0
Jin Soo Son rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns0
Control0:00
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:43Control
Round 2Petr Yan edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns0
Control0:13
16Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:52Control
Round 3Petr Yan edged it
Sig. strikes49
Takedowns0
Control0:00
24Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
100 / 232
Sig Strikes
58 / 220
42.3%
Sig Str %
26%
115 / 249
Total Strikes
63 / 226
0 / 1
TDs
1 / 7
0%
TD %
33.3%
0
Sub Att
0
1
Rev
0
0:13
Ctrl Time
2:35

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Jin Soo Son18 / 6622 / 700 / 30
1Petr Yan21 / 5327 / 610 / 00
2Jin Soo Son16 / 6317 / 651 / 10
2Petr Yan30 / 6438 / 720 / 00
3Jin Soo Son24 / 9124 / 910 / 30
3Petr Yan49 / 11550 / 1160 / 10

Petr Yan

StanceSwitch
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights15

Jin Soo Son

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights2