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Bantamweight

5 Rounds

Petr Yan won · U-DEC R5

Elo1532

Elo1483

Petr YanvsDeiveson FigueiredoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · Saturday, November 23, 2024Macau, China

Official fight result

Petr Yan won

U-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Style matchupPetr Yan: Pressure fightervsDeiveson Figueiredo: Submission grappler

The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.

Model Prediction: Deiveson Figueiredo wins(51.4%)

Actual result: Petr Yan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Deiveson Figueiredo at +245 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Petr Yan enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Petr Yan has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Petr Yan has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Petr Yan (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Petr Yan

Red Corner

Deiveson Figueiredo

Blue Corner

-305

(75%)

Vegas Odds

+245

(29%)

1532

Elo

1483

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'5"

170.18 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Petr YanW3 streak

oldest →

vs Sean O'Malley · Oct 22

vs Merab Dvalishvili · Mar 23

vs Song Yadong · Mar 24

vs Marcus McGhee · Jul 25

vs Merab Dvalishvili · Dec 25

latest

Deiveson FigueiredoL2 streak

oldest →

vs Marlon Vera · Aug 24

KOvs Cory Sandhagen · May 25

vs Montel Jackson · Oct 25

vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Jan 26

SUBvs Song Yadong · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Petr YanMetricDeiveson Figueiredo

5.16

Strikes / min

2.63

4.24

Strikes absorbed / min

3.47

59%

Strike defense

49%

1.70

TDs / 15 min

1.61

86%

Takedown defense

57%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

1.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.92Δ 1.76 — meaningful gap-0.84

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Petr YanDeiveson Figueiredo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Petr Yan(10 fights)Deiveson Figueiredo(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +49.4|Blue -49.4

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Grappler Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Layoff

Red +147.0|Blue -147.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Petr YanTargetDeiveson Figueiredo

By target zone

55% acc · 64%

Head

31% acc · 43%

86% acc · 15%

Body

67% acc · 45%

83% acc · 21%

Leg

75% acc · 11%

By position

103

60% acc · 85%

Distance

44% acc · 92%

87% acc · 11%

Clinch

57% acc · 8%

83% acc · 4%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Petr Yan rounds

even

Deiveson Figueiredo rounds

Round 1Petr Yan edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control2:21

1Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:58Control

Round 2Petr Yan edged it

Sig. strikes32

Takedowns1

Control0:02

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Petr Yan edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:54

13Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:06Control

Round 4Petr Yan edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:04

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:55Control

Round 5Petr Yan edged it

Sig. strikes37

Takedowns0

Control0:00

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

121 / 193

Sig Strikes

53 / 119

68.8%

Sig Str %

55.2%

190 / 263

Total Strikes

53 / 119

1 / 4

TDs

2 / 8

50%

TD %

37.5%

Sub Att

Rev

3:21

Ctrl Time

3:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Deiveson Figueiredo	1 / 1	1 / 1	1 / 2
1	Petr Yan	6 / 6	42 / 42	0 / 0
2	Deiveson Figueiredo	10 / 30	10 / 30	0 / 3
2	Petr Yan	32 / 49	32 / 49	1 / 1
3	Deiveson Figueiredo	13 / 25	13 / 25	1 / 1
3	Petr Yan	21 / 36	28 / 44	0 / 0
4	Petr Yan	25 / 40	50 / 65	0 / 0
4	Deiveson Figueiredo	14 / 30	14 / 30	0 / 2
5	Deiveson Figueiredo	15 / 33	15 / 33	0 / 0
5	Petr Yan	37 / 62	38 / 63	0 / 3

Petr Yan

StanceSwitch

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights15

Deiveson Figueiredo

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights20