← All fights/Event page

Bantamweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Petr Yan won · U-DEC R5

Elo1532

Elo1484

Petr YanvsCory SandhagenUFC Prediction Result

UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · Saturday, October 30, 2021Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Petr Yan won

U-DEC · Round 5 · 5:00

Style matchupPetr Yan: Pressure fightervsCory Sandhagen: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Petr Yan wins(53.5%)

Actual result: Petr Yan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Petr Yan at -305 American odds

+$33 profit

$133 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Petr Yan enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Petr Yan has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Petr Yan

Red Corner

Cory Sandhagen

Blue Corner

-305

(75%)

Vegas Odds

+240

(29%)

1532

Elo

1484

Age

Switch

Stance

Switch

5'7"

Height

5'11"

170.18 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Petr YanW4 streak

oldest →

vs Merab Dvalishvili · Mar 23

vs Song Yadong · Mar 24

vs Deiveson Figueiredo · Nov 24

vs Marcus McGhee · Jul 25

vs Merab Dvalishvili · Dec 25

latest

Cory SandhagenL2 streak

oldest →

vs Rob Font · Aug 23

vs Umar Nurmagomedov · Aug 24

KOvs Deiveson Figueiredo · May 25

vs Merab Dvalishvili · Oct 25

DECvs Mario Bautista · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Petr YanMetricCory Sandhagen

5.16

Strikes / min

4.86

4.24

Strikes absorbed / min

3.47

59%

Strike defense

56%

1.70

TDs / 15 min

1.15

86%

Takedown defense

56%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.92evenly matched on net striking+1.39

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Petr YanCory Sandhagen

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Petr Yan(10 fights)Cory Sandhagen(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +47.7|Blue -47.7

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +140.0|Blue -140.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Petr YanTargetCory Sandhagen

By target zone

100

46% acc · 67%

Head

118

30% acc · 70%

93% acc · 18%

Body

88% acc · 17%

92% acc · 15%

Leg

96% acc · 14%

By position

135

54% acc · 91%

Distance

168

38% acc · 99%

78% acc · 5%

Clinch

50% acc · 1%

78% acc · 5%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Petr Yan rounds

even

Cory Sandhagen rounds

Round 1Cory Sandhagen edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:00

37Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:10Control

Round 2Cory Sandhagen edged it

Sig. strikes38

Takedowns0

Control0:05

45Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Petr Yan edged it

Sig. strikes36

Takedowns0

Control0:40

Knockdowns1

37Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

0Knockdowns

Round 4Petr Yan edged it

Sig. strikes36

Takedowns0

Control0:24

25Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:03Control

Round 5Cory Sandhagen edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:00

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

149 / 270

Sig Strikes

169 / 445

54%

Sig Str %

37.4%

158 / 280

Total Strikes

172 / 449

0 / 2

TDs

1 / 6

TD %

11%

Sub Att

Rev

1:09

Ctrl Time

0:20

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Cory Sandhagen	37 / 85	39 / 87	0 / 2	0
1	Petr Yan	19 / 37	19 / 37	0 / 0	0
2	Cory Sandhagen	45 / 113	45 / 113	0 / 1	0
2	Petr Yan	38 / 65	40 / 67	0 / 0	0
3	Cory Sandhagen	37 / 86	37 / 87	0 / 0	0
3	Petr Yan	36 / 57	41 / 63	0 / 0	0
4	Petr Yan	36 / 67	38 / 69	0 / 1	1
4	Cory Sandhagen	25 / 83	26 / 84	1 / 3	0
5	Cory Sandhagen	25 / 78	25 / 78	0 / 0	0
5	Petr Yan	20 / 44	20 / 44	0 / 1	0

Petr Yan

StanceSwitch

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights15

Cory Sandhagen

StanceSwitch

Height71.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights17