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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Kyler Phillips won · U-DEC R3

Elo1488

Elo1476

Pedro MunhozvsKyler PhillipsUFC Prediction Result

UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · Saturday, March 9, 2024Miami, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Kyler Phillips won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupPedro Munhoz: Pressure fightervsKyler Phillips: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Kyler Phillips wins(74.0%)

Actual result: Kyler Phillips wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Kyler Phillips at -238 American odds

+$42 profit

$142 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Kyler Phillips enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Kyler Phillips has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Pedro Munhoz

Red Corner

Kyler Phillips

Blue Corner

+195

(34%)

Vegas Odds

-238

(70%)

1488

Elo

1476

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'8"

165.1 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Pedro MunhozL2 streak

oldest →

vs Jose Aldo · Aug 21

vs Dominick Cruz · Dec 21

vs Chris Gutierrez · Apr 23

vs Marlon Vera · Aug 23

vs Aiemann Zahabi · Nov 24

latest

Kyler PhillipsL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Marcelo Rojo · Feb 22

vs Raoni Barcelos · Aug 23

vs Rob Font · Oct 24

vs Vinicius Oliveira · Jul 25

DECvs Charles Jourdain · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Pedro MunhozMetricKyler Phillips

5.38

Strikes / min

4.75

6.29

Strikes absorbed / min

3.83

55%

Strike defense

58%

0.48

TDs / 15 min

2.82

82%

Takedown defense

75%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.91Δ 1.83 — meaningful gap+0.92

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Pedro MunhozKyler Phillips

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Pedro Munhoz(10 fights)Kyler Phillips(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +12.5|Blue -12.5

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -14.0|Blue +14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Pedro MunhozTargetKyler Phillips

By target zone

23% acc · 44%

Head

33% acc · 65%

71% acc · 33%

Body

71% acc · 15%

71% acc · 23%

Leg

85% acc · 20%

By position

36% acc · 92%

Distance

111

41% acc · 97%

60% acc · 6%

Clinch

40% acc · 2%

100% acc · 2%

Ground

100% acc · 1%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Pedro Munhoz rounds

even

Kyler Phillips rounds

Round 1Kyler Phillips edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns1

Control0:24

55Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 2Kyler Phillips edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:00

32Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Kyler Phillips edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:00

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

52 / 140

Sig Strikes

114 / 275

37%

Sig Str %

40%

52 / 140

Total Strikes

115 / 276

1 / 8

TDs

0 / 0

8.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:24

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Kyler Phillips	55 / 120	56 / 121	0 / 0
1	Pedro Munhoz	19 / 54	19 / 54	1 / 4
2	Kyler Phillips	32 / 75	32 / 75	0 / 0
2	Pedro Munhoz	20 / 42	20 / 42	0 / 2
3	Kyler Phillips	27 / 80	27 / 80	0 / 0
3	Pedro Munhoz	13 / 44	13 / 44	0 / 2

Pedro Munhoz

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights20

Kyler Phillips

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights9