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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Pedro Munhoz won · SUB R2

Elo1488

Elo1366

Pedro MunhozvsJustin ScogginsUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · Saturday, November 19, 2016Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil

Official fight result

Pedro Munhoz won

SUB · Round 2 · 1:55

Style matchupPedro Munhoz: Pressure fightervsJustin Scoggins: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Justin Scoggins wins(73.5%)

Actual result: Pedro Munhoz wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Justin Scoggins at -155 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Pedro Munhoz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Justin Scoggins (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Pedro Munhoz

Red Corner

Justin Scoggins

Blue Corner

+135

(43%)

Vegas Odds

-155

(61%)

1488

Elo

1366

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'6"

Height

5'7"

165.1 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Pedro MunhozL3 streak

oldest →

vs Dominick Cruz · Dec 21

vs Chris Gutierrez · Apr 23

vs Marlon Vera · Aug 23

vs Kyler Phillips · Mar 24

vs Aiemann Zahabi · Nov 24

latest

Justin ScogginsL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs John Moraga · Sep 14

DECvs Joshua Sampo · May 15

vs Ray Borg · Feb 16

SUBvs Ulka Sasaki · Jun 17

vs Said Nurmagomedov · Jul 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Pedro MunhozMetricJustin Scoggins

5.38

Strikes / min

3.56

6.29

Strikes absorbed / min

2.16

55%

Strike defense

55%

0.48

TDs / 15 min

3.42

82%

Takedown defense

82%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.91Δ 2.31 — meaningful gap+1.40

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Pedro MunhozJustin Scoggins

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Pedro Munhoz(10 fights)Justin Scoggins(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +122.1|Blue -122.1

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red -152.0|Blue +152.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Pedro MunhozTargetJustin Scoggins

By target zone

27% acc · 46%

Head

41% acc · 68%

45% acc · 18%

Body

38% acc · 18%

50% acc · 36%

Leg

75% acc · 14%

By position

36% acc · 100%

Distance

42% acc · 95%

0% acc

Clinch

100% acc · 2%

Ground

100% acc · 2%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Pedro Munhoz rounds

even

Justin Scoggins rounds

Round 1Justin Scoggins edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:00

24Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:04Control

Round 2Justin Scoggins edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:08

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

28 / 79

Sig Strikes

44 / 102

34.5%

Sig Str %

46%

28 / 79

Total Strikes

44 / 102

0 / 4

TDs

1 / 1

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:08

Ctrl Time

0:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Justin Scoggins	24 / 67	24 / 67	1 / 1	0
1	Pedro Munhoz	20 / 55	20 / 55	0 / 3	0
2	Justin Scoggins	20 / 35	20 / 35	0 / 0	0
2	Pedro Munhoz	8 / 24	8 / 24	0 / 1	1

Pedro Munhoz

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights20

Justin Scoggins

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights9