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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Jimmie Rivera won · S-DEC R3

Elo1488

Elo1493

Pedro MunhozvsJimmie RiveraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · Saturday, November 7, 2015Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil

Official fight result

Jimmie Rivera won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupPedro Munhoz: Pressure fightervsJimmie Rivera: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Pedro Munhoz wins(61.1%)

Actual result: Jimmie Rivera wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Pedro Munhoz at -170 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Pedro Munhoz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Pedro Munhoz

Red Corner

Jimmie Rivera

Blue Corner

-170

(63%)

Vegas Odds

+150

(40%)

1488

Elo

1493

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'4"

165.1 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Pedro MunhozL3 streak

oldest →

vs Dominick Cruz · Dec 21

vs Chris Gutierrez · Apr 23

vs Marlon Vera · Aug 23

vs Kyler Phillips · Mar 24

vs Aiemann Zahabi · Nov 24

latest

Jimmie Rivera

oldest →

vs John Dodson · Sep 18

vs Aljamain Sterling · Feb 19

vs Petr Yan · Jun 19

vs Cody Stamann · Jul 20

vs Pedro Munhoz · Feb 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Pedro MunhozMetricJimmie Rivera

5.38

Strikes / min

4.03

6.29

Strikes absorbed / min

3.90

55%

Strike defense

60%

0.48

TDs / 15 min

0.88

82%

Takedown defense

92%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.91Δ 1.04 — meaningful gap+0.13

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Pedro MunhozJimmie Rivera

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Pedro Munhoz(10 fights)Jimmie Rivera(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -4.7|Blue +4.7

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +413.0|Blue -413.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Pedro MunhozTargetJimmie Rivera

By target zone

26% acc · 47%

Head

37% acc · 72%

39% acc · 21%

Body

50% acc · 18%

78% acc · 32%

Leg

100% acc · 10%

By position

35% acc · 97%

Distance

41% acc · 98%

100% acc · 3%

Clinch

40% acc · 2%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Pedro Munhoz rounds

even

Jimmie Rivera rounds

Round 1Jimmie Rivera edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:00

35Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Jimmie Rivera edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:03

33Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:08Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:05

28Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

66 / 183

Sig Strikes

96 / 233

35.3%

Sig Str %

40.7%

67 / 184

Total Strikes

98 / 235

0 / 7

TDs

0 / 3

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:08

Ctrl Time

0:08

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jimmie Rivera	35 / 88	35 / 88	0 / 1
1	Pedro Munhoz	16 / 52	16 / 52	0 / 1
2	Jimmie Rivera	33 / 69	35 / 71	0 / 1
2	Pedro Munhoz	23 / 60	24 / 61	0 / 4
3	Jimmie Rivera	28 / 76	28 / 76	0 / 1
3	Pedro Munhoz	27 / 71	27 / 71	0 / 2

Pedro Munhoz

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights20

Jimmie Rivera

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights11