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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Pedro Munhoz won · U-DEC

Elo1488

Elo1493

Pedro MunhozvsJimmie RiveraUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · Saturday, February 27, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Pedro Munhoz won

U-DEC

Style matchupPedro Munhoz: Pressure fightervsJimmie Rivera: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Pedro Munhoz wins(62.3%)

Actual result: Pedro Munhoz wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Pedro Munhoz at +115 American odds

+$115 profit

$215 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Pedro Munhoz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Pedro Munhoz

Red Corner

Jimmie Rivera

Blue Corner

+115

(47%)

Vegas Odds

-135

(57%)

1488

Elo

1493

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'4"

165.1 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Pedro MunhozL3 streak

oldest →

vs Dominick Cruz · Dec 21

vs Chris Gutierrez · Apr 23

vs Marlon Vera · Aug 23

vs Kyler Phillips · Mar 24

vs Aiemann Zahabi · Nov 24

latest

Jimmie Rivera

oldest →

KOvs Marlon Moraes · Jun 18

vs John Dodson · Sep 18

vs Aljamain Sterling · Feb 19

vs Petr Yan · Jun 19

vs Cody Stamann · Jul 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Pedro MunhozMetricJimmie Rivera

5.38

Strikes / min

4.03

6.29

Strikes absorbed / min

3.90

55%

Strike defense

60%

0.48

TDs / 15 min

0.88

82%

Takedown defense

92%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.91Δ 1.04 — meaningful gap+0.13

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Pedro MunhozJimmie Rivera

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Pedro Munhoz(10 fights)Jimmie Rivera(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -4.7|Blue +4.7

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -38.0|Blue +38.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Pedro MunhozTargetJimmie Rivera

By target zone

30% acc · 37%

Head

29% acc · 74%

70% acc · 20%

Body

50% acc · 6%

77% acc · 43%

Leg

76% acc · 20%

By position

48% acc · 99%

Distance

34% acc · 100%

100% acc · 1%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Pedro Munhoz rounds

even

Jimmie Rivera rounds

Round 1Pedro Munhoz edged it

Sig. strikes37

Takedowns0

Control0:00

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Pedro Munhoz edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:03

18Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:04Control

Round 3Pedro Munhoz edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns0

Control0:00

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

94 / 194

Sig Strikes

65 / 193

48.7%

Sig Str %

33%

94 / 194

Total Strikes

65 / 193

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 5

—

TD %

11%

Sub Att

Rev

0:03

Ctrl Time

0:04

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jimmie Rivera	31 / 80	31 / 80	0 / 1
1	Pedro Munhoz	37 / 72	37 / 72	0 / 0
2	Jimmie Rivera	18 / 50	18 / 50	1 / 3
2	Pedro Munhoz	26 / 49	26 / 49	0 / 0
3	Jimmie Rivera	16 / 63	16 / 63	0 / 1
3	Pedro Munhoz	31 / 73	31 / 73	0 / 0

Pedro Munhoz

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights20

Jimmie Rivera

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights11