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Bantamweight

5 Rounds

Frankie Edgar won · S-DEC

Elo1488

Elo1441

Pedro MunhozvsFrankie EdgarUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · Saturday, August 22, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Frankie Edgar won

S-DEC

Style matchupPedro Munhoz: Pressure fightervsFrankie Edgar: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Pedro Munhoz wins(61.9%)

Actual result: Frankie Edgar wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Pedro Munhoz at -278 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Pedro Munhoz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Frankie Edgar enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Frankie Edgar has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Pedro Munhoz has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Pedro Munhoz

Red Corner

Frankie Edgar

Blue Corner

-278

(74%)

Vegas Odds

+225

(31%)

1488

Elo

1441

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'6"

165.1 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Pedro MunhozL3 streak

oldest →

vs Dominick Cruz · Dec 21

vs Chris Gutierrez · Apr 23

vs Marlon Vera · Aug 23

vs Kyler Phillips · Mar 24

vs Aiemann Zahabi · Nov 24

latest

Frankie EdgarL5 streak

oldest →

vs Max Holloway · Jul 19

KOvs Chan Sung Jung · Dec 19

KOvs Cory Sandhagen · Feb 21

KOvs Marlon Vera · Nov 21

KOvs Chris Gutierrez · Nov 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Pedro MunhozMetricFrankie Edgar

5.38

Strikes / min

3.77

6.29

Strikes absorbed / min

2.82

55%

Strike defense

65%

0.48

TDs / 15 min

2.29

82%

Takedown defense

65%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.91Δ 1.86 — meaningful gap+0.95

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Pedro MunhozFrankie Edgar

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Pedro Munhoz(10 fights)Frankie Edgar(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +47.8|Blue -47.8

Recent Form

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Striker Score

Red -1.3|Blue +1.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +196.0|Blue -196.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Pedro MunhozTargetFrankie Edgar

By target zone

38% acc · 59%

Head

105

34% acc · 78%

62% acc · 14%

Body

50% acc · 17%

85% acc · 27%

Leg

88% acc · 5%

By position

166

47% acc · 100%

Distance

134

37% acc · 99%

Clinch

50% acc · 1%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Pedro Munhoz rounds

even

Frankie Edgar rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns0

Control0:00

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Frankie Edgar edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:00

25Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:12Control

Round 3Pedro Munhoz edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns0

Control0:00

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 4Pedro Munhoz edged it

Sig. strikes35

Takedowns0

Control0:00

24Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:06Control

Round 5Pedro Munhoz edged it

Sig. strikes47

Takedowns0

Control0:00

33Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

166 / 350

Sig Strikes

135 / 363

46.6%

Sig Str %

37%

166 / 350

Total Strikes

135 / 363

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 8

—

TD %

30%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:18

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Frankie Edgar	29 / 77	29 / 77	0 / 0
1	Pedro Munhoz	30 / 64	30 / 64	0 / 0
2	Frankie Edgar	25 / 61	25 / 61	1 / 5
2	Pedro Munhoz	21 / 57	21 / 57	0 / 0
3	Frankie Edgar	24 / 60	24 / 60	0 / 1
3	Pedro Munhoz	33 / 60	33 / 60	0 / 0
4	Pedro Munhoz	35 / 74	35 / 74	0 / 0
4	Frankie Edgar	24 / 82	24 / 82	1 / 1
5	Frankie Edgar	33 / 83	33 / 83	0 / 1
5	Pedro Munhoz	47 / 95	47 / 95	0 / 0

Pedro Munhoz

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights20

Frankie Edgar

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights22