← All fights/Event page

Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Pedro Munhoz won · U-DEC R3

Elo1488

Elo1367

Pedro MunhozvsDamian StasiakUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · Sunday, May 28, 2017Stockholm, Sweden

Official fight result

Pedro Munhoz won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupPedro Munhoz: Pressure fightervsDamian Stasiak: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Pedro Munhoz wins(53.9%)

Actual result: Pedro Munhoz wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Pedro Munhoz at -670 American odds

+$15 profit

$115 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Pedro Munhoz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Pedro Munhoz has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Damian Stasiak has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Pedro Munhoz

Red Corner

Damian Stasiak

Blue Corner

-670

(87%)

Vegas Odds

+485

(17%)

1488

Elo

1367

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'5"

165.1 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Pedro MunhozL3 streak

oldest →

vs Dominick Cruz · Dec 21

vs Chris Gutierrez · Apr 23

vs Marlon Vera · Aug 23

vs Kyler Phillips · Mar 24

vs Aiemann Zahabi · Nov 24

latest

Damian StasiakL2 streak

oldest →

vs Yaotzin Meza · Apr 15

SUBvs Filip Pejic · Apr 16

SUBvs Davey Grant · Oct 16

KOvs Brian Kelleher · Oct 17

vs Liu Pingyuan · Jul 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Pedro MunhozMetricDamian Stasiak

5.38

Strikes / min

1.86

6.29

Strikes absorbed / min

3.10

55%

Strike defense

52%

0.48

TDs / 15 min

2.64

82%

Takedown defense

43%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.91evenly matched on net striking-1.24

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Pedro MunhozDamian Stasiak

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Pedro Munhoz(10 fights)Damian Stasiak(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +121.9|Blue -121.9

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -42.0|Blue +42.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Pedro MunhozTargetDamian Stasiak

By target zone

36% acc · 60%

Head

27% acc · 80%

46% acc · 17%

Body

37% acc · 16%

75% acc · 23%

Leg

100% acc · 5%

By position

41% acc · 82%

Distance

29% acc · 98%

56% acc · 15%

Clinch

33% acc · 2%

67% acc · 3%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Pedro Munhoz rounds

even

Damian Stasiak rounds

Round 1Pedro Munhoz edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:01

13Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

0:13Control

Round 2Pedro Munhoz edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control0:30

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Pedro Munhoz edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns3

Control1:57

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

65 / 151

Sig Strikes

44 / 151

42.7%

Sig Str %

28.3%

72 / 158

Total Strikes

44 / 151

3 / 10

TDs

2 / 6

20%

TD %

33.3%

Sub Att

Rev

2:28

Ctrl Time

0:13

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Damian Stasiak	13 / 45	13 / 45	2 / 2	0
1	Pedro Munhoz	22 / 54	22 / 54	0 / 3	1
2	Damian Stasiak	18 / 59	18 / 59	0 / 3	0
2	Pedro Munhoz	19 / 47	19 / 47	0 / 2	0
3	Damian Stasiak	13 / 47	13 / 47	0 / 1	0
3	Pedro Munhoz	24 / 50	31 / 57	3 / 5	0

Pedro Munhoz

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights20

Damian Stasiak

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights6