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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Pedro Munhoz won · U-DEC R3

Elo1488

Elo1493

Pedro MunhozvsBrett JohnsUFC Prediction Result

UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · Saturday, August 4, 2018Los Angeles, California, USA

Official fight result

Pedro Munhoz won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupPedro Munhoz: Pressure fightervsBrett Johns: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Brett Johns wins(55.5%)

Actual result: Pedro Munhoz wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Brett Johns at +175 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Pedro Munhoz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Pedro Munhoz has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Brett Johns has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Pedro Munhoz

Red Corner

Brett Johns

Blue Corner

-210

(68%)

Vegas Odds

+175

(36%)

1488

Elo

1493

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'7"

165.1 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Pedro MunhozL3 streak

oldest →

vs Dominick Cruz · Dec 21

vs Chris Gutierrez · Apr 23

vs Marlon Vera · Aug 23

vs Kyler Phillips · Mar 24

vs Aiemann Zahabi · Nov 24

latest

Brett JohnsW2 streak

oldest →

vs Albert Morales · Jul 17

SUBvs Joe Soto · Dec 17

vs Aljamain Sterling · Apr 18

SUBvs Tony Gravely · Jan 20

vs Montel Jackson · Jul 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Pedro MunhozMetricBrett Johns

5.38

Strikes / min

2.86

6.29

Strikes absorbed / min

3.84

55%

Strike defense

53%

0.48

TDs / 15 min

4.92

82%

Takedown defense

58%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

1.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.91evenly matched on net striking-0.98

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Pedro MunhozBrett Johns

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Pedro Munhoz(10 fights)Brett Johns(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -4.2|Blue +4.2

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Grappler Score

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Layoff

Red +49.0|Blue -49.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Pedro MunhozTargetBrett Johns

By target zone

43% acc · 67%

Head

40% acc · 84%

52% acc · 14%

Body

83% acc · 14%

72% acc · 20%

Leg

67% acc · 3%

By position

45% acc · 67%

Distance

41% acc · 89%

56% acc · 15%

Clinch

80% acc · 11%

54% acc · 18%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Pedro Munhoz rounds

even

Brett Johns rounds

Round 1Pedro Munhoz edged it

Sig. strikes50

Takedowns0

Control0:00

32Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:06Control

Round 2Pedro Munhoz edged it

Sig. strikes59

Takedowns0

Control1:23

Knockdowns3

33Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:20Control

0Knockdowns

Round 3Pedro Munhoz edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control3:07

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:41Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

117 / 245

Sig Strikes

73 / 168

50.3%

Sig Str %

47%

160 / 292

Total Strikes

82 / 180

0 / 4

TDs

0 / 6

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

4:30

Ctrl Time

1:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Brett Johns	32 / 91	33 / 92	0 / 2	0
1	Pedro Munhoz	50 / 113	52 / 115	0 / 2	0
2	Brett Johns	33 / 62	36 / 67	0 / 3	0
2	Pedro Munhoz	59 / 118	69 / 128	0 / 1	1
3	Brett Johns	8 / 15	13 / 21	0 / 1	0
3	Pedro Munhoz	8 / 14	39 / 49	0 / 1	0

Pedro Munhoz

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights20

Brett Johns

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights7