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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Payton Talbott won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1535

Elo1489

Payton TalbottvsCameron SaaimanUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · Saturday, March 23, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Payton Talbott won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 0:21

Style matchupPayton Talbott: Well-roundedvsCameron Saaiman: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Payton Talbott wins(64.6%)

Actual result: Payton Talbott wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Payton Talbott at -162 American odds

+$62 profit

$162 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Payton Talbott has 30pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Payton Talbott (54.1%).

Tale of the Tape

Payton Talbott

Red Corner

Cameron Saaiman

Blue Corner

-162

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+136

(42%)

1535

Elo

1489

Age

Switch

Stance

Southpaw

5'10"

Height

5'8"

177.8 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Payton TalbottW2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Nick Aguirre · Nov 23

KOvs Yanis Ghemmouri · Jun 24

vs Raoni Barcelos · Jan 25

vs Felipe Lima · Jun 25

vs Henry Cejudo · Dec 25

latest

Cameron SaaimanL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Steven Koslow · Dec 22

vs Mana Martinez · Mar 23

KOvs Terrence Mitchell · Jul 23

vs Christian Rodriguez · Oct 23

KOvs Malcolm Wellmaker · Apr 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Payton TalbottMetricCameron Saaiman

6.62

Strikes / min

5.30

3.41

Strikes absorbed / min

4.14

46%

Strike defense

51%

0.78

TDs / 15 min

0.89

77%

Takedown defense

47%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+3.21Δ 2.05 — meaningful gap+1.16

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Payton TalbottCameron Saaiman

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Payton Talbott(6 fights)Cameron Saaiman(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +46.6|Blue -46.6

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -35.0|Blue +35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Payton TalbottTargetCameron Saaiman

By target zone

54% acc · 66%

Head

33% acc · 42%

78% acc · 27%

Body

65% acc · 35%

100% acc · 8%

Leg

100% acc · 23%

By position

55% acc · 68%

Distance

48% acc · 97%

75% acc · 8%

Clinch

100% acc · 3%

83% acc · 24%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Payton Talbott rounds

even

Cameron Saaiman rounds

Round 1Payton Talbott edged it

Sig. strikes59

Takedowns0

Control0:16

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Payton Talbott edged it

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:14

Knockdowns1

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

79 / 129

Sig Strikes

31 / 64

69.5%

Sig Str %

25%

83 / 135

Total Strikes

33 / 66

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 3

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:30

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Cameron Saaiman	31 / 62	33 / 64	0 / 3
1	Payton Talbott	59 / 105	63 / 111	0 / 1
2	Cameron Saaiman	0 / 2	0 / 2	0 / 0
2	Payton Talbott	20 / 24	20 / 24	0 / 0

Payton Talbott

StanceSwitch

Height70.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights6

Cameron Saaiman

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights6