Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Lightweight
3 Rounds
Paul Felder won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1392
Elo1359

Paul FeldervsAlessandro RicciUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · Sunday, February 19, 2017Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada

Official fight result

Paul Felder won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:44

Model Prediction: Paul Felder wins(70.0%)

Actual result: Paul Felder wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Paul Felder at -370 American odds

+$27 profit

$127 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Paul Felder
Red Corner
VS
Alessandro Ricci
Blue Corner
-370
(79%)
Vegas Odds
+310
(24%)
1392
Elo
1359
42
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'11"
177.8 cm
Reach
175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Paul FelderL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Mike Perry · Jul 18
W
vs James Vick · Feb 19
W
vs Edson Barboza · Sep 19
L
vs Dan Hooker · Feb 20
L
vs Rafael Dos Anjos · Nov 20
latest
Alessandro Ricci
oldest →
L
DECvs Jeremy Kennedy · Aug 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Paul FelderMetricAlessandro Ricci
3.70
Strikes / min
—
3.44
Strikes absorbed / min
—
48%
Strike defense
—
0.29
TDs / 15 min
—
64%
Takedown defense
—
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1525 vs 1482Strikes44.4 vs 28.0Takedowns0.4 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.43 vs 0.00Form-0.1 vs -1.0
Paul FelderAlessandro Ricci

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Paul Felder(10 fights)Alessandro Ricci(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +32.3|Blue -32.3
Recent Form
Red +0.9|Blue -0.9
Striker Score
Red +2.6|Blue -2.6
Grappler Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff
Red -28.0|Blue +28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Paul Felder

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights15

Alessandro Ricci

No profile data.