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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Patrick Cote won · U-DEC R3

Elo1360

Elo1359

Patrick CotevsKyle NokeUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · Wednesday, April 16, 2014Quebec City, Quebec, Canada

Official fight result

Patrick Cote won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Patrick Cote wins(56.4%)

Actual result: Patrick Cote wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Patrick Cote at +185 American odds

+$185 profit

$285 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Kyle Noke enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Kyle Noke has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Kyle Noke has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Kyle Noke (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Patrick Cote

Red Corner

Kyle Noke

Blue Corner

+185

(35%)

Vegas Odds

-200

(67%)

1360

Elo

1359

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'11"

Height

6'1"

190.5 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Patrick CoteL2 streak

oldest →

vs Joe Riggs · Apr 15

KOvs Joshua Burkman · Aug 15

KOvs Ben Saunders · Jan 16

KOvs Donald Cerrone · Jun 16

vs Thiago Alves · Apr 17

latest

Kyle NokeL3 streak

oldest →

vs Jonavin Webb · May 15

KOvs Peter Sobotta · Nov 15

vs Alex Morono · Jan 16

SUBvs Keita Nakamura · Jul 16

vs Omari Akhmedov · Nov 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Patrick CoteMetricKyle Noke

2.81

Strikes / min

3.23

3.21

Strikes absorbed / min

2.09

48%

Strike defense

64%

0.68

TDs / 15 min

1.53

43%

Takedown defense

66%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.40Δ 1.54 — meaningful gap+1.14

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Patrick CoteKyle Noke

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Patrick Cote(10 fights)Kyle Noke(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +1.3|Blue -1.3

Recent Form

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Striker Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red -175.0|Blue +175.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Patrick CoteTargetKyle Noke

By target zone

49% acc · 67%

Head

48% acc · 40%

56% acc · 15%

Body

52% acc · 24%

86% acc · 18%

Leg

90% acc · 36%

By position

26% acc · 18%

Distance

53% acc · 66%

42% acc · 15%

Clinch

62% acc · 16%

85% acc · 67%

Ground

90% acc · 18%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Patrick Cote rounds

even

Kyle Noke rounds

Round 1Patrick Cote edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns1

Control2:58

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:22Control

Round 2Kyle Noke edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns1

Control2:00

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns1

Control2:17

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

33 / 61

Sig Strikes

50 / 85

52%

Sig Str %

60.7%

127 / 162

Total Strikes

67 / 103

3 / 9

TDs

0 / 0

36%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

7:15

Ctrl Time

0:26

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Kyle Noke	18 / 24	27 / 34	0 / 0
1	Patrick Cote	17 / 26	57 / 71	1 / 2
2	Kyle Noke	19 / 39	21 / 41	0 / 0
2	Patrick Cote	9 / 20	34 / 46	1 / 3
3	Kyle Noke	13 / 22	19 / 28	0 / 0
3	Patrick Cote	7 / 15	36 / 45	1 / 4

Patrick Cote

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights12

Kyle Noke

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights12