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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Aaron Pico won · Decision R3

Elo1481

Elo1506

Patricio PitbullvsAaron PicoUFC Prediction Result

UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · Saturday, April 11, 2026Miami, USA

Official fight result

Aaron Pico won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupPatricio Pitbull: Well-roundedvsAaron Pico: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Patricio Pitbull wins(50.1%)

Actual result: Aaron Pico wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Patricio Pitbull has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Patricio Pitbull has 74pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Patricio Pitbull

Red Corner

Aaron Pico

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1481

Elo

1506

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'8"

170.18 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 1 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Patricio PitbullNo prior UFC fights on record.

Aaron Pico

oldest →

KOvs Lerone Murphy · Aug 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Patricio PitbullMetricAaron Pico

2.77

Strikes / min

6.16

4.61

Strikes absorbed / min

3.11

55%

Strike defense

45%

1.26

TDs / 15 min

6.54

74%

Takedown defense

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.84Δ 4.89 — meaningful gap+3.05

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Patricio Pitbull(1 fights)Aaron Pico(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -24.3|Blue +24.3

Recent Form

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Striker Score

Red +49.6|Blue -49.6

Grappler Score

Red +48.9|Blue -48.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Patricio Pitbull

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights0

Aaron Pico

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights1