Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Pat Barry won · U-DEC R3

Elo1353

Elo1352

Pat BarryvsJoey BeltranUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 2 · Saturday, January 22, 2011Killeen, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Pat Barry won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Joey Beltran wins(70.1%)

Actual result: Pat Barry wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Joey Beltran at +164 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Joey Beltran enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Joey Beltran is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Pat Barry has lost 67% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Pat Barry

Red Corner

Joey Beltran

Blue Corner

-174

(64%)

Vegas Odds

+164

(38%)

1353

Elo

1352

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

6'1"

187.96 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Pat BarryL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Christian Morecraft · Jan 12

KOvs Lavar Johnson · May 12

KOvs Shane del Rosario · Dec 12

KOvs Shawn Jordan · Jun 13

KOvs Soa Palelei · Dec 13

latest

Joey BeltranL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Aaron Rosa · Jun 11

vs Stipe Miocic · Oct 11

KOvs Lavar Johnson · Jan 12

vs James Te Huna · Jul 12

vs Fabio Maldonado · Oct 13

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Pat BarryMetricJoey Beltran

2.72

Strikes / min

4.92

3.54

Strikes absorbed / min

5.27

59%

Strike defense

54%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.48

76%

Takedown defense

75%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.82evenly matched on net striking-0.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Pat BarryJoey Beltran

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Pat Barry(9 fights)Joey Beltran(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red -1.7|Blue +1.7

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +105.0|Blue -105.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Pat BarryTargetJoey Beltran

By target zone

25% acc · 30%

Head

23% acc · 64%

100% acc · 4%

Body

70% acc · 13%

94% acc · 65%

Leg

76% acc · 24%

By position

50% acc · 93%

Distance

19% acc · 47%

50% acc · 2%

Clinch

67% acc · 53%

100% acc · 4%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Pat Barry rounds

even

Joey Beltran rounds

Round 1Joey Beltran edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:21

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:58Control

Round 2Joey Beltran edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:00

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:07Control

Round 3Pat Barry edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:32

Knockdowns1

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:19Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

46 / 90

Sig Strikes

55 / 177

46.7%

Sig Str %

34.3%

58 / 103

Total Strikes

104 / 235

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 6

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:53

Ctrl Time

4:24

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Joey Beltran	15 / 30	29 / 48	0 / 2
1	Pat Barry	3 / 8	6 / 12	0 / 0
2	Joey Beltran	20 / 75	34 / 89	0 / 2
2	Pat Barry	17 / 35	17 / 35	0 / 0
3	Joey Beltran	20 / 72	41 / 98	0 / 2
3	Pat Barry	26 / 47	35 / 56	0 / 0

Pat Barry

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights9

Joey Beltran

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights8