← All fights/Event page

Lightweight

3 Rounds

John Makdessi won · U-DEC R3

Elo1351

Elo1476

Pat AudinwoodvsJohn MakdessiUFC Prediction Result

UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2 · Saturday, December 11, 2010Montreal, Quebec, Canada

Official fight result

John Makdessi won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Pat Audinwood wins(64.5%)

Actual result: John Makdessi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Pat Audinwood at -145 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

John Makdessi has 27pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
John Makdessi has 86pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Pat Audinwood has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Pat Audinwood

Red Corner

John Makdessi

Blue Corner

-145

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+125

(44%)

1351

Elo

1476

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'8"

188 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Pat Audinwood

oldest →

SUBvs Thiago Tavares · Sep 10

latest

John MakdessiL2 streak

oldest →

vs Jesus Pinedo · Mar 19

vs Francisco Trinaldo · Mar 20

vs Ignacio Bahamondes · Apr 21

vs Nasrat Haqparast · Sep 22

vs Jamie Mullarkey · Sep 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Pat AudinwoodMetricJohn Makdessi

1.17

Strikes / min

5.52

4.31

Strikes absorbed / min

4.15

41%

Strike defense

68%

0.80

TDs / 15 min

0.00

Takedown defense

86%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-3.14Δ 4.51 — meaningful gap+1.37

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Pat AudinwoodJohn Makdessi

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Pat Audinwood(2 fights)John Makdessi(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -125.0|Blue +125.0

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Pat AudinwoodTargetJohn Makdessi

By target zone

7% acc · 47%

Head

55% acc · 57%

42% acc · 42%

Body

47% acc · 12%

29% acc · 11%

Leg

74% acc · 31%

By position

12% acc · 100%

Distance

58% acc · 96%

0% acc

Clinch

100% acc · 3%

Ground

33% acc · 1%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Pat Audinwood rounds

even

John Makdessi rounds

Round 1John Makdessi edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:02

Knockdowns0

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:19Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2John Makdessi edged it

Sig. strikes9

Takedowns1

Control0:01

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3John Makdessi edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

19 / 162

Sig Strikes

74 / 127

11.7%

Sig Str %

57.7%

19 / 162

Total Strikes

77 / 134

1 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

50%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:03

Ctrl Time

0:19

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	John Makdessi	21 / 37	24 / 44	0 / 0
1	Pat Audinwood	4 / 49	4 / 49	0 / 1
2	John Makdessi	27 / 45	27 / 45	0 / 0
2	Pat Audinwood	9 / 48	9 / 48	1 / 1
3	John Makdessi	26 / 45	26 / 45	0 / 0
3	Pat Audinwood	6 / 65	6 / 65	0 / 0

Pat Audinwood

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach—

Fights2

John Makdessi

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights20