Welterweight

3 Rounds

Pascal Krauss won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Pascal KraussvsMark ScanlonUFC Prediction Result

UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · Saturday, November 13, 2010Oberhausen, North Rhine-Westphalia, Germany

Official fight result

Pascal Krauss won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupPascal Krauss: Pressure fightervsMark Scanlon: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Pascal Krauss wins(50.5%)

Actual result: Pascal Krauss wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Pascal Krauss at -230 American odds

+$43 profit

$143 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Pascal Krauss has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Pascal Krauss has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Pascal Krauss

Red Corner

Mark Scanlon

Blue Corner

-230

(70%)

Vegas Odds

+190

(34%)

1490

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

5'9"

182.88 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Pascal Krauss

oldest →

vs John Hathaway · May 12

vs Mike Stumpf · Jan 13

KOvs Hyun Gyu Lim · Aug 13

latest

Mark ScanlonNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Pascal KraussMetricMark Scanlon

5.45

Strikes / min

2.20

3.88

Strikes absorbed / min

3.33

59%

Strike defense

48%

1.53

TDs / 15 min

3.00

60%

Takedown defense

25%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

2.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.57Δ 2.70 — meaningful gap-1.13

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Pascal Krauss(4 fights)Mark Scanlon(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Pascal KraussTargetMark Scanlon

By target zone

36% acc · 48%

Head

34% acc · 85%

84% acc · 42%

Body

29% acc · 6%

83% acc · 10%

Leg

75% acc · 9%

By position

23% acc · 22%

Distance

33% acc · 79%

78% acc · 28%

Clinch

33% acc · 9%

76% acc · 50%

Ground

67% acc · 12%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Pascal Krauss rounds

even

Mark Scanlon rounds

Round 1Pascal Krauss edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns2

Control2:10

8Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:24Control

Round 2Pascal Krauss edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns1

Control3:25

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:53Control

Round 3Mark Scanlon edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control2:34

15Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

0:59Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

50 / 98

Sig Strikes

33 / 94

51.3%

Sig Str %

37.3%

230 / 290

Total Strikes

62 / 129

3 / 4

TDs

3 / 4

66.7%

TD %

75%

Sub Att

Rev

8:09

Ctrl Time

3:16

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Mark Scanlon	8 / 41	17 / 54	1 / 2	1
1	Pascal Krauss	22 / 48	65 / 92	2 / 2	0
2	Mark Scanlon	10 / 23	24 / 38	0 / 0	0
2	Pascal Krauss	17 / 27	62 / 77	1 / 1	2
3	Mark Scanlon	15 / 30	21 / 37	2 / 2	1
3	Pascal Krauss	11 / 23	103 / 121	0 / 1	0

Pascal Krauss

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach—

Fights4

Mark Scanlon

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach—

Fights1