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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Parker Porter won · U-DEC R3

Elo1497

Elo1459

Parker PortervsChase ShermanUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Gastelum · Saturday, August 21, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Parker Porter won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupParker Porter: Pressure fightervsChase Sherman: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Parker Porter wins(74.0%)

Actual result: Parker Porter wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Parker Porter at +170 American odds

+$170 profit

$270 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Chase Sherman is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Parker Porter has lost 75% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Parker Porter

Red Corner

Chase Sherman

Blue Corner

+170

(37%)

Vegas Odds

-200

(67%)

1497

Elo

1459

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'4"

190.5 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Parker Porter

oldest →

vs Alan Baudot · Feb 22

SUBvs Jailton Almeida · May 22

KOvs Justin Tafa · Feb 23

KOvs Braxton Smith · May 23

KOvs Junior Tafa · Aug 23

latest

Chase ShermanL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Jake Collier · Jan 22

SUBvs Alexandr Romanov · Apr 22

KOvs Jared Vanderaa · Jul 22

vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Nov 22

vs Karl Williams · May 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Parker PorterMetricChase Sherman

6.55

Strikes / min

6.04

6.32

Strikes absorbed / min

6.65

51%

Strike defense

52%

1.35

TDs / 15 min

0.09

66%

Takedown defense

74%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.23evenly matched on net striking-0.61

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Parker PorterChase Sherman

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Parker Porter(8 fights)Chase Sherman(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +38.6|Blue -38.6

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red -1.9|Blue +1.9

Grappler Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Layoff

Red +140.0|Blue -140.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Parker PorterTargetChase Sherman

By target zone

116

48% acc · 78%

Head

35% acc · 59%

100% acc · 11%

Body

88% acc · 13%

89% acc · 11%

Leg

100% acc · 28%

By position

141

52% acc · 95%

Distance

115

47% acc · 98%

100% acc · 5%

Clinch

100% acc · 2%

100% acc · 1%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Parker Porter rounds

even

Chase Sherman rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns1

Control1:57

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Parker Porter edged it

Sig. strikes57

Takedowns0

Control0:05

51Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Parker Porter edged it

Sig. strikes71

Takedowns0

Control0:17

37Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

149 / 278

Sig Strikes

117 / 249

50.3%

Sig Str %

47%

159 / 294

Total Strikes

121 / 253

1 / 8

TDs

0 / 0

33.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

2:19

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Chase Sherman	29 / 59	30 / 60	0 / 0
1	Parker Porter	21 / 56	30 / 69	1 / 1
2	Chase Sherman	51 / 102	52 / 103	0 / 0
2	Parker Porter	57 / 105	58 / 107	0 / 3
3	Chase Sherman	37 / 88	39 / 90	0 / 0
3	Parker Porter	71 / 117	71 / 118	0 / 4

Parker Porter

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights8

Chase Sherman

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights15