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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Parker Porter won · U-DEC R3

Elo1497

Elo1426

Parker PortervsAlan BaudotUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · Saturday, February 19, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Parker Porter won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupParker Porter: Pressure fightervsAlan Baudot: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Parker Porter wins(70.2%)

Actual result: Parker Porter wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Parker Porter at -280 American odds

+$36 profit

$136 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Alan Baudot enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Alan Baudot has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Parker Porter

Red Corner

Alan Baudot

Blue Corner

-280

(74%)

Vegas Odds

+225

(31%)

1497

Elo

1426

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

6'3"

190.5 cm

Reach

200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Parker Porter

oldest →

vs Chase Sherman · Aug 21

SUBvs Jailton Almeida · May 22

KOvs Justin Tafa · Feb 23

KOvs Braxton Smith · May 23

KOvs Junior Tafa · Aug 23

latest

Alan BaudotL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Tom Aspinall · Oct 20

KOvs Rodrigo Nascimento · Jul 21

KOvs Josh Parisian · Jun 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Parker PorterMetricAlan Baudot

6.55

Strikes / min

5.36

6.32

Strikes absorbed / min

4.82

51%

Strike defense

46%

1.35

TDs / 15 min

0.00

66%

Takedown defense

62%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.23evenly matched on net striking+0.54

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Parker PorterAlan Baudot

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Parker Porter(8 fights)Alan Baudot(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +71.2|Blue -71.2

Recent Form

Red +1.6|Blue -1.6

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Layoff

Red -35.0|Blue +35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Parker PorterTargetAlan Baudot

By target zone

25% acc · 47%

Head

46% acc · 78%

100% acc · 9%

Body

100% acc · 20%

86% acc · 44%

Leg

50% acc · 2%

By position

36% acc · 79%

Distance

50% acc · 91%

86% acc · 14%

Clinch

83% acc · 9%

60% acc · 7%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Parker Porter rounds

even

Alan Baudot rounds

Round 1Parker Porter edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns1

Control2:52

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 2Parker Porter edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns0

Control1:23

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:19Control

Round 3Alan Baudot edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns1

Control2:19

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

43 / 106

Sig Strikes

55 / 107

40%

Sig Str %

50.3%

82 / 150

Total Strikes

61 / 113

2 / 8

TDs

0 / 0

33.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

6:34

Ctrl Time

0:24

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Alan Baudot	17 / 32	18 / 33	0 / 0
1	Parker Porter	12 / 39	29 / 56	1 / 2
2	Alan Baudot	14 / 32	15 / 33	0 / 0
2	Parker Porter	19 / 39	25 / 45	0 / 4
3	Alan Baudot	24 / 43	28 / 47	0 / 0
3	Parker Porter	12 / 28	28 / 49	1 / 2

Parker Porter

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights8

Alan Baudot

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights4