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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Raquel Pennington won · U-DEC R3

Elo1491

Elo1504

Pannie KianzadvsRaquel PenningtonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · Saturday, September 18, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Raquel Pennington won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupPannie Kianzad: Pressure fightervsRaquel Pennington: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Pannie Kianzad wins(70.9%)

Actual result: Raquel Pennington wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Pannie Kianzad at +115 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Pannie Kianzad enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Raquel Pennington has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Pannie Kianzad

Red Corner

Raquel Pennington

Blue Corner

+115

(47%)

Vegas Odds

-135

(57%)

1491

Elo

1504

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'7"

167.64 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Pannie KianzadL3 streak

oldest →

vs Alexis Davis · Jun 21

vs Lina Lansberg · Apr 22

vs Ketlen Vieira · Jul 23

SUBvs Macy Chiasson · Mar 24

vs Karol Rosa · Aug 24

latest

Raquel Pennington

oldest →

SUBvs Macy Chiasson · Dec 21

vs Aspen Ladd · Apr 22

vs Ketlen Vieira · Jan 23

vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Jan 24

vs Julianna Pena · Oct 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Pannie KianzadMetricRaquel Pennington

4.88

Strikes / min

4.10

4.09

Strikes absorbed / min

3.32

51%

Strike defense

61%

0.41

TDs / 15 min

0.83

65%

Takedown defense

62%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.79evenly matched on net striking+0.78

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Pannie KianzadRaquel Pennington

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Pannie Kianzad(10 fights)Raquel Pennington(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -13.9|Blue +13.9

Recent Form

Red +0.7|Blue -0.7

Striker Score

Red -2.3|Blue +2.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red -357.0|Blue +357.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Pannie KianzadTargetRaquel Pennington

By target zone

38% acc · 52%

Head

46% acc · 54%

80% acc · 40%

Body

94% acc · 35%

80% acc · 8%

Leg

100% acc · 10%

By position

26% acc · 26%

Distance

47% acc · 48%

77% acc · 74%

Clinch

82% acc · 48%

Ground

100% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Pannie Kianzad rounds

even

Raquel Pennington rounds

Round 1Pannie Kianzad edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns1

Control3:24

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:20Control

Round 2Raquel Pennington edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:55

12Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:37Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes28

Takedowns0

Control1:15

28Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:19Control

Fight Stats

Totals

50 / 98

Sig Strikes

48 / 79

55.3%

Sig Str %

63%

85 / 144

Total Strikes

98 / 144

1 / 2

TDs

1 / 3

50%

TD %

33.3%

Sub Att

Rev

5:34

Ctrl Time

6:16

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Raquel Pennington	8 / 12	25 / 36	0 / 1
1	Pannie Kianzad	12 / 19	21 / 30	1 / 2
2	Raquel Pennington	12 / 18	34 / 46	1 / 1
2	Pannie Kianzad	10 / 17	21 / 32	0 / 0
3	Raquel Pennington	28 / 49	39 / 62	0 / 1
3	Pannie Kianzad	28 / 62	43 / 82	0 / 0

Pannie Kianzad

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights11

Raquel Pennington

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights19