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Women's Featherweight

5 Rounds

Title Bout

Macy Chiasson won · SUB R2

Elo1491

Elo1474

Pannie KianzadvsMacy ChiassonUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale · Friday, November 30, 2018Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Macy Chiasson won

SUB · Round 2 · 2:11

Style matchupPannie Kianzad: Pressure fightervsMacy Chiasson: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Macy Chiasson wins(51.4%)

Actual result: Macy Chiasson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Macy Chiasson at -105 American odds

+$95 profit

$195 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Pannie Kianzad enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Macy Chiasson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Macy Chiasson has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Pannie Kianzad

Red Corner

Macy Chiasson

Blue Corner

-115

(53%)

Vegas Odds

-105

(51%)

1491

Elo

1474

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'11"

167.64 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Pannie KianzadL3 streak

oldest →

vs Raquel Pennington · Sep 21

vs Lina Lansberg · Apr 22

vs Ketlen Vieira · Jul 23

SUBvs Macy Chiasson · Mar 24

vs Karol Rosa · Aug 24

latest

Macy ChiassonL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Pannie Kianzad · Mar 24

KOvs Mayra Bueno Silva · Jun 24

vs Ketlen Vieira · May 25

vs Yana Santos · Oct 25

vs Ailin Perez · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Pannie KianzadMetricMacy Chiasson

4.88

Strikes / min

3.21

4.09

Strikes absorbed / min

2.76

51%

Strike defense

44%

0.41

TDs / 15 min

1.87

65%

Takedown defense

62%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.79evenly matched on net striking+0.45

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Pannie Kianzad(10 fights)Macy Chiasson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +16.5|Blue -16.5

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Pannie KianzadTargetMacy Chiasson

By target zone

37% acc · 53%

Head

35% acc · 46%

75% acc · 47%

Body

67% acc · 50%

Leg

100% acc · 4%

By position

35% acc · 42%

Distance

43% acc · 50%

69% acc · 58%

Clinch

56% acc · 42%

Ground

50% acc · 8%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Pannie Kianzad rounds

even

Macy Chiasson rounds

Round 1Macy Chiasson edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:04

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:49Control

Round 2Macy Chiasson edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:09

Knockdowns0

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:42Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

19 / 39

Sig Strikes

24 / 50

46%

Sig Str %

48%

30 / 50

Total Strikes

37 / 64

0 / 2

TDs

0 / 6

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:13

Ctrl Time

5:31

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Macy Chiasson	12 / 28	18 / 35	0 / 6	1
1	Pannie Kianzad	14 / 27	19 / 32	0 / 2	0
2	Macy Chiasson	12 / 22	19 / 29	0 / 0	1
2	Pannie Kianzad	5 / 12	11 / 18	0 / 0	1

Pannie Kianzad

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights11

Macy Chiasson

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights14