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Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Macy Chiasson won · SUB R1
Elo1491
Pannie Kianzad
Elo1474

Pannie KianzadvsMacy ChiassonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · Saturday, March 16, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Macy Chiasson won

SUB · Round 1 · 3:54

Style matchupPannie Kianzad: Pressure fightervsMacy Chiasson: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Macy Chiasson wins(57.9%)

Actual result: Macy Chiasson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Macy Chiasson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Macy Chiasson has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Pannie Kianzad
Red Corner
VS
Macy Chiasson
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1491
Elo
1474
34
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'11"
167.64 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Pannie KianzadL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Alexis Davis · Jun 21
L
vs Raquel Pennington · Sep 21
W
vs Lina Lansberg · Apr 22
L
vs Ketlen Vieira · Jul 23
L
vs Karol Rosa · Aug 24
latest
Macy ChiassonL3 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Irene Aldana · Sep 22
W
KOvs Mayra Bueno Silva · Jun 24
L
vs Ketlen Vieira · May 25
L
vs Yana Santos · Oct 25
L
vs Ailin Perez · Feb 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Pannie KianzadMetricMacy Chiasson
4.88
Strikes / min
3.21
4.09
Strikes absorbed / min
2.76
51%
Strike defense
44%
0.41
TDs / 15 min
1.87
65%
Takedown defense
62%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.79evenly matched on net striking+0.45

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1521 vs 1538Strikes4.9 vs 3.8Takedowns0.4 vs 2.4Sub Atts0.10 vs 0.40Form-0.4 vs -0.2
Pannie KianzadMacy Chiasson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601475149015051520← oldermost recent →
Pannie Kianzad(10 fights)Macy Chiasson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +16.5|Blue -16.5
Recent Form
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Grappler Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff
Red -315.0|Blue +315.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Pannie KianzadTargetMacy Chiasson

By target zone

1
20% acc · 50%
Head
3
38% acc · 75%
0
Body
1
50% acc · 25%
1
100% acc · 50%
Leg
0

By position

2
50% acc · 100%
Distance
3
33% acc · 75%
0
0% acc
Clinch
1
100% acc · 25%
0
0% acc
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Pannie Kianzad rounds
0
even
1
Macy Chiasson rounds
Round 1Macy Chiasson edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns1
Control0:52
4Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
2:28Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
2 / 6
Sig Strikes
4 / 10
33%
Sig Str %
40%
29 / 35
Total Strikes
5 / 11
1 / 2
TDs
2 / 2
50%
TD %
100%
0
Sub Att
1
0
Rev
1
0:52
Ctrl Time
2:28

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Macy Chiasson4 / 105 / 112 / 21
1Pannie Kianzad2 / 629 / 351 / 20

Pannie Kianzad

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights11

Macy Chiasson

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights14